After an unprecedented March heat wave that set records across Southern California—including downtown Los Angeles reaching 95°F earlier this month—the National Weather Service's latest guidance points to a moderating high near 69°F at Los Angeles International Airport on March 30, as a strengthening marine layer clashes with lingering high-pressure ridging. Trader consensus, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 68-75°F (aggregating ~76%), mirrors this forecast uncertainty: persistent stratus clouds and onshore flow favor the leading 68-69°F outcome (25.5%), while earlier burn-off or downslope warming could push toward 72-75°F. Historical March 30 averages sit at ~70°F, with model ensembles showing low confidence in extremes amid variable afternoon clearing; intraday observations will sharpen resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on March 30?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 30?
68-69°F 26%
70-71°F 19%
72-73°F 18%
76°F or higher 13.8%
57°F or below
1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
11%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
18%
74-75°F
14%
76°F or higher
14%
68-69°F 26%
70-71°F 19%
72-73°F 18%
76°F or higher 13.8%
57°F or below
1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
11%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
18%
74-75°F
14%
76°F or higher
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...After an unprecedented March heat wave that set records across Southern California—including downtown Los Angeles reaching 95°F earlier this month—the National Weather Service's latest guidance points to a moderating high near 69°F at Los Angeles International Airport on March 30, as a strengthening marine layer clashes with lingering high-pressure ridging. Trader consensus, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 68-75°F (aggregating ~76%), mirrors this forecast uncertainty: persistent stratus clouds and onshore flow favor the leading 68-69°F outcome (25.5%), while earlier burn-off or downslope warming could push toward 72-75°F. Historical March 30 averages sit at ~70°F, with model ensembles showing low confidence in extremes amid variable afternoon clearing; intraday observations will sharpen resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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