Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

36%

<4m sq km

$28.9K Vol.

$4.2K Liq.

6

Ends in 6 months

Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?

Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?

7%

$62.8K Vol.

$15.7K Liq.

3

Ends in 3 months

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

18%

April 30

$51.7K Vol.

$8.0K Liq.

18

Ends in 26 days

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

53%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$11.8K Liq.

108

Ends in 3 months

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

99%

Isfahan nuclear facility

$738K Vol.

$198K today

$36.6K Liq.

257

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in April 2026?

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in April 2026?

73%

↑ $3.00

$63.1K Vol.

$59.2K Liq.

1

Ends in 28 days

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

45%

2

$2M Vol.

$148K Liq.

17

Ends in 9 months

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

35%

↑ 1.80

$65.4K Vol.

$5.2K Liq.

5

Ends in 9 months

Counter-Strike: Change The Game vs FengDa Gaming (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia Cup #3 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Change The Game vs FengDa Gaming (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia Cup #3 Playoffs

51%

Change The Game

$13.7K Vol.

$331K Liq.

Ends in about 5 hours

2026 March 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 March 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

99%

4th or lower

$281K Vol.

$22.4K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

2026 April 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 April 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

36%

3rd hottest

$4.6K Vol.

$5.8K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

55%

1.25–1.29ºC

$232K Vol.

$13.7K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

65%

S&P 500

$16.6K Vol.

$29.0K Liq.

Ends in 26 days

April 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

April 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

28%

1.20–1.24ºC

$18.7K Vol.

$7.1K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

73%

$112K Vol.

$6.8K Liq.

3

Ends in 9 months

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

36%

December 31, 2026

$439K Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

28

What price will Plasma hit in 2026?

What price will Plasma hit in 2026?

25%

↑ 1.20

$298K Vol.

$1.7K Liq.

10

Ends in 9 months

What price will Solana hit in 2026?

What price will Solana hit in 2026?

79%

↓ 60

$579K Vol.

$385K Liq.

19

Ends in 9 months

What price will BNB hit in 2026?

What price will BNB hit in 2026?

73%

↓ 500

$94.1K Vol.

$43.6K Liq.

15

Ends in 9 months

People's Bank of China rate change in April?

People's Bank of China rate change in April?

95%

No Change

$8.6K Vol.

$33.1K Liq.

Ends in 26 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Climate Change.

Polymarket currently hosts 337 active markets for Climate Change that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $7.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 46% chance to 2. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Climate Change predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.