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Strait Of Hormuz predictions & odds

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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

26%

$11M Vol.

$1M today

$863K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

11%

June 30

$27M Vol.

$1M today

$706K Liq.

341

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to in April?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to in April?

51%

Unfreeze Iranian Assets

$1M Vol.

$297K today

$160K Liq.

33

Ends in 13 days

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

83%

May 31

$2M Vol.

$169K today

$183K Liq.

67

Ends in 13 days

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

67%

$961K Vol.

$106K today

$103K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

20%

May 31

$1M Vol.

$104K today

$77.2K Liq.

76

Ends in 13 days

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?

7%

France

$3M Vol.

$60.2K today

$271K Liq.

123

Ends in 13 days

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

74%

20+

$434K Vol.

$73.9K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?

17%

April 30

$4M Vol.

$28.9K Liq.

165

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?

30%

$62.1K Vol.

$21.4K Liq.

2

Ends in 13 days

Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by...?

Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by...?

6%

April 30

$2M Vol.

$41.8K Liq.

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Apr 13-19)

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Apr 13-19)

31%

40-49

$42.2K Vol.

$77.7K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

75%

$38.9K Vol.

$35.8K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

28%

0-10

$107K Vol.

$60.2K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 19?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 19?

42%

8-11

$7.8K Vol.

$77.6K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Citrini Analyst #3 returns to the Middle East in April?

Citrini Analyst #3 returns to the Middle East in April?

8%

$1.8K Vol.

$11.5K Liq.

1

Ends in 13 days

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 16 active markets for Strait Of Hormuz that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $52.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 11% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Strait Of Hormuz predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.