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SF predictions & odds

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AFC Ajax vs. Olympiakós SFP - More Markets

AFC Ajax vs. Olympiakós SFP - More Markets

-

$138K Vol.

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

7%

Successful splash down?

$1M Vol.

$28.1K Liq.

39

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

97%

Up

$8.7K Vol.

$3.0K Liq.

Ends in 19 days

What will Microsoft (MSFT) hit in April 2026?

What will Microsoft (MSFT) hit in April 2026?

28%

↑ $450

$49.1K Vol.

$1.7K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

88%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$813K Vol.

$104K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

99%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$627K Vol.

$103K today

$117K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit Week of April 13 2026?

What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit Week of April 13 2026?

3%

↓ $367.50

$10.9K Vol.

$8.6K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

48%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$18.6K Liq.

109

Ends in 2 months

San Jose State Spartans vs. Air Force Falcons

San Jose State Spartans vs. Air Force Falcons

-

$0 Vol.

$117 Liq.

RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

24%

$4.8K Vol.

$22.3K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 30?

What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 30?

42%

1.226 - 1.244m

$1.2K Vol.

$734 Liq.

Ends in 14 days

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

72%

↓ 0.0014

$99.5K Vol.

$15.3K Liq.

2

Ends in 9 months

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

54%

Silver

$26.3K Vol.

$19.3K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Eintracht Frankfurt - More Markets

Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Eintracht Frankfurt - More Markets

-

$653K Vol.

Palantir # of customers above __ in Q1?

Palantir # of customers above __ in Q1?

95%

960

$332 Vol.

$5.8K Liq.

Ends in 18 days

Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?

Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?

2%

$87.1K Vol.

$15.0K Liq.

3

Ends in 2 months

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

34%

December 31, 2026

$447K Vol.

$8.7K Liq.

29

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

43%

Steve Bannon

$549K Vol.

$744K Liq.

15

Ends in 9 months

San Francisco Dons vs. Loyola Marymount Lions (W)

San Francisco Dons vs. Loyola Marymount Lions (W)

San Francisco Dons

$0 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

81%

Up

$22.8K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like SF.

Polymarket currently hosts 106 active markets for SF that lets you track or trade on predictions like “AFC Ajax vs. Olympiakós SFP - More Markets”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $7.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 48% chance to June 30, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on SF predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.