Figure AI’s ongoing livestream of multiple F.03 humanoid robots autonomously sorting packages in a warehouse has become the dominant driver of trader sentiment for this market. Powered by the Helix-02 vision-language-action model, three units have logged over 191 consecutive autonomous hours while handling more than 238,000 packages at roughly human parity speeds of three seconds per item. Recent scaling at the BotQ facility now enables one F.03 unit per hour in production, expanding the test fleet and supporting sustained 24/7 operation without human intervention. With resolution set for today at 10 PM ET, any last-minute mechanical failure remains possible, yet the demonstrated reliability and real-time camera-based reasoning continue to underpin market-implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$402,949 Vol.
May 21, 2026
200,000+
Yes
225,000+
Yes
250,000+
No
255,000+
No
260,000+
No
$402,949 Vol.
200,000+
$98,394 Vol.
Yes
225,000+
$58,243 Vol.
Yes
250,000+
$224,076 Vol.
No
255,000+
$12,101 Vol.
No
260,000+
$10,136 Vol.
No
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the package counter in the specified livestream displays a figure equal to or higher than the specified figure at any point prior to May 21, 2026, 10:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the 8-hour period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the 8-hour period elapses, resolution will be based on the highest visible package count prior to the end of the demonstration.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Figure AI’s ongoing livestream of multiple F.03 humanoid robots autonomously sorting packages in a warehouse has become the dominant driver of trader sentiment for this market. Powered by the Helix-02 vision-language-action model, three units have logged over 191 consecutive autonomous hours while handling more than 238,000 packages at roughly human parity speeds of three seconds per item. Recent scaling at the BotQ facility now enables one F.03 unit per hour in production, expanding the test fleet and supporting sustained 24/7 operation without human intervention. With resolution set for today at 10 PM ET, any last-minute mechanical failure remains possible, yet the demonstrated reliability and real-time camera-based reasoning continue to underpin market-implied odds.
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the package counter in the specified livestream displays a figure equal to or higher than the specified figure at any point prior to May 21, 2026, 10:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the 8-hour period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the 8-hour period elapses, resolution will be based on the highest visible package count prior to the end of the demonstration.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the package counter in the specified livestream displays a figure equal to or higher than the specified figure at any point prior to May 21, 2026, 10:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the 8-hour period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the 8-hour period elapses, resolution will be based on the highest visible package count prior to the end of the demonstration.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: May 13, 2026, 7:57 PM ET
Volume
$402,949End Date
May 21, 2026Market Opened
May 13, 2026, 7:57 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the package counter in the specified livestream displays a figure equal to or higher than the specified figure at any point prior to May 21, 2026, 10:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the 8-hour period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the 8-hour period elapses, resolution will be based on the highest visible package count prior to the end of the demonstration.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Figure AI’s ongoing livestream of multiple F.03 humanoid robots autonomously sorting packages in a warehouse has become the dominant driver of trader sentiment for this market. Powered by the Helix-02 vision-language-action model, three units have logged over 191 consecutive autonomous hours while handling more than 238,000 packages at roughly human parity speeds of three seconds per item. Recent scaling at the BotQ facility now enables one F.03 unit per hour in production, expanding the test fleet and supporting sustained 24/7 operation without human intervention. With resolution set for today at 10 PM ET, any last-minute mechanical failure remains possible, yet the demonstrated reliability and real-time camera-based reasoning continue to underpin market-implied odds.
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the package counter in the specified livestream displays a figure equal to or higher than the specified figure at any point prior to May 21, 2026, 10:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the 8-hour period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the 8-hour period elapses, resolution will be based on the highest visible package count prior to the end of the demonstration.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the package counter in the specified livestream displays a figure equal to or higher than the specified figure at any point prior to May 21, 2026, 10:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the 8-hour period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the 8-hour period elapses, resolution will be based on the highest visible package count prior to the end of the demonstration.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$402,949End Date
May 21, 2026Market Opened
May 13, 2026, 7:57 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Figure AI’s ongoing livestream of multiple F.03 humanoid robots autonomously sorting packages in a warehouse has become the dominant driver of trader sentiment for this market. Powered by the Helix-02 vision-language-action model, three units have logged over 191 consecutive autonomous hours while handling more than 238,000 packages at roughly human parity speeds of three seconds per item. Recent scaling at the BotQ facility now enables one F.03 unit per hour in production, expanding the test fleet and supporting sustained 24/7 operation without human intervention. With resolution set for today at 10 PM ET, any last-minute mechanical failure remains possible, yet the demonstrated reliability and real-time camera-based reasoning continue to underpin market-implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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