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Exit Poll predictions & odds

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Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

14%

December 31

$51M Vol.

$525K today

$3M Liq.

1,518

Ends in 7 months

UK election called by...?

UK election called by...?

15%

December 31, 2026

$785K Vol.

$7.6K Liq.

14

Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory?

Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory?

93%

Fujimori 0–4%

$968K Vol.

$76.3K today

$295K Liq.

24

Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory? (0.1% brackets)

Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory? (0.1% brackets)

49%

Fujimori 0.2–0.3%

$347K Vol.

$302K today

$351K Liq.

9

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

47%

Likud

$15.3K Vol.

$71.1K Liq.

2

Ends in 5 months

Peru Senate Election Winner

Peru Senate Election Winner

99%

FP

$102K Vol.

$54.6K Liq.

6

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

78%

50

$20.8K Vol.

$2.1K Liq.

2

Ends in 7 months

New Zealand Election: Turnout

New Zealand Election: Turnout

28%

76-78%

$608 Vol.

$5.5K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Makerfield by-election: Margin of Victory

Makerfield by-election: Margin of Victory

43%

Burnham 9%+

$20.8K Vol.

$82.1K Liq.

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

26%

$105K Vol.

$12.5K Liq.

3

Ends in 7 months

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

2%

$42.6K Vol.

$13.1K Liq.

3

Ends in 20 days

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

37%

Lula da Silva <5%

$239K Vol.

$91.9K Liq.

14

Ends in 4 months

KY-04 Republican Primary: Margin of Victory

KY-04 Republican Primary: Margin of Victory

99%

Gallrein 9%+

$192K Vol.

$38.5K Liq.

6

Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

47%

50-53%

$574 Vol.

$4.5K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Peru Election 2nd Round: Turnout?

Peru Election 2nd Round: Turnout?

96%

70–75%

$69.6K Vol.

$35.8K Liq.

2

Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner

Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner

33%

PRO

$84.7K Vol.

$77.6K Liq.

6

Ends in 4 months

NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

45%

Labour 15%+

$627 Vol.

$5.9K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

5%

December 31

$6M Vol.

$174K Liq.

70

Ends in 7 months

Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner

Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner

91%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

$1M Vol.

$190K Liq.

9

Ends in 3 months

NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)

NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)

47%

Labour

$88 Vol.

$143 Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 104 active markets for Exit Poll that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $60.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 14% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Exit Poll predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.