Skip to main content

Exit Poll predictions & odds

·
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

13%

December 31

$40M Vol.

$390K today

$1M Liq.

1,267

Ends in 8 months

UK election called by...?

UK election called by...?

4%

June 30, 2026

$754K Vol.

$8.9K Liq.

15

Malta Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory

Malta Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory

47%

Labour Party 5-10%

$4.9K Vol.

$54.2K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

54%

Likud

$2.8K Vol.

$18.1K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Peru Senate Election Winner

Peru Senate Election Winner

99%

FP

$97.1K Vol.

$41.1K Liq.

6

New Zealand Election: Turnout

New Zealand Election: Turnout

29%

76-78%

$82 Vol.

$2.5K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

9%

$29.5K Vol.

$14.6K Liq.

3

Ends in about 1 month

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

100%

Keiko Fujimori 5%+

$522K Vol.

$95.7K Liq.

10

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

31%

Lula da Silva <5%

$232K Vol.

$78.2K Liq.

10

Ends in 5 months

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

32%

$92.9K Vol.

$8.2K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

42%

53-56%

$564 Vol.

$6.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

80%

Not revealed in 2026

$13.4K Vol.

$20.3K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner

Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner

28%

JV

$79.3K Vol.

$108K Liq.

6

Ends in 5 months

NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

44%

Labour 0-5%

$0 Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Fetterman leaves the Democrats by June 30?

Fetterman leaves the Democrats by June 30?

5%

$3.2K Vol.

$14.3K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner

Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner

91%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

$1M Vol.

$95.5K Liq.

8

Ends in 4 months

NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)

NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)

41%

Labour

$44 Vol.

$89 Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

23%

Paxton 6–9%

$59.3K Vol.

$74.0K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 days

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

8%

December 31

$5M Vol.

$84.0K Liq.

70

Ends in 8 months

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

86%

$2.3K Vol.

$6.1K Liq.

2

Ends in 6 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Exit Poll.

Polymarket currently hosts 104 active markets for Exit Poll that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $47.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 13% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Exit Poll predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.