The second-round matchup on June 7 between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez has produced a polarized contest that traders view as likely to sustain turnout in the 70–80 percent range, with the 70–75 percent bin currently leading at 41 percent. Recent polling shows Fujimori holding a narrow edge while Sánchez draws strong rural and highland support from the former Pedro Castillo base, a dynamic that typically mobilizes both urban and interior voters without the extreme abstention seen in less contested races. Logistical adjustments following first-round delivery shortfalls and extended polling hours appear to have stabilized participation expectations, and no major new barriers or mobilization surges have emerged in the past month to push probabilities outside the historical 70–80 percent band observed in prior Peruvian presidential runoffs.