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Elections·Global Elections

Next President of Vietnam

Market icon
Elections·Global Elections

Next President of Vietnam

Tô Lâm 95%

Phan Văn Giang 3.4%

Trần Thanh Mẫn 2.1%

Trần Cẩm Tú <1%

Polymarket

$29,615,800 Vol.

Tô Lâm 95%

Phan Văn Giang 3.4%

Trần Thanh Mẫn 2.1%

Trần Cẩm Tú <1%

Polymarket

$29,615,800 Vol.

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Tô Lâm

$3,736,328 Vol.

95%

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Phan Văn Giang

$2,379,464 Vol.

3%

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Trần Thanh Mẫn

$2,448,571 Vol.

2%

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Trần Cẩm Tú

$2,216,746 Vol.

<1%

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Nguyễn Duy Ngọc

$784,757 Vol.

<1%

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Phạm Minh Chính

$15,534,877 Vol.

<1%

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Lương Cường

$2,515,058 Vol.

<1%

Vietnam’s President is selected through internal decisions of the Communist Party of Vietnam and its National Assembly. The Party is holding its 14th National Congress from January 19 to January 25, 2026, after which the National Assembly of Vietnam is expected to elect leadership positions including President. This market will resolve to the next individual who is formally elected by the National Assembly to assume the office of President of Vietnam. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected to assume the office of President. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If the offices of President of Vietnam and General Secretary of the Communist Party of Vietnam are merged such that an individual is elected to hold a joint office as leader of the party and head of state of Vietnam, this market will resolve to that individual. If no such President is elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Assembly of Vietnam; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Tô Lâm at 94.5% implied probability to become Vietnam's next president, driven by his unanimous re-election as Communist Party of Vietnam General Secretary at the 14th National Congress in January 2026, consolidating his paramount authority in the one-party system where the party chief typically shapes state leadership selections. Incumbent President Lương Cường's 2021–2026 term concludes alongside the 15th National Assembly, with the incoming legislature poised to formalize Tô Lâm's expected ascension amid streamlined governance reforms and economic growth pledges. No major developments in the past 30 days have shifted sentiment; potential challenges include unforeseen health issues, internal Politburo shifts, or scandals, though these face high institutional barriers.

Vietnam’s President is selected through internal decisions of the Communist Party of Vietnam and its National Assembly. The Party is holding its 14th National Congress from January 19 to January 25, 2026, after which the National Assembly of Vietnam is expected to elect leadership positions including President.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is formally elected by the National Assembly to assume the office of President of Vietnam.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected to assume the office of President. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If the offices of President of Vietnam and General Secretary of the Communist Party of Vietnam are merged such that an individual is elected to hold a joint office as leader of the party and head of state of Vietnam, this market will resolve to that individual.

If no such President is elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Assembly of Vietnam; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$29,615,800
End Date
Jan 25, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 21, 2026, 1:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Vietnam’s President is selected through internal decisions of the Communist Party of Vietnam and its National Assembly. The Party is holding its 14th National Congress from January 19 to January 25, 2026, after which the National Assembly of Vietnam is expected to elect leadership positions including President. This market will resolve to the next individual who is formally elected by the National Assembly to assume the office of President of Vietnam. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected to assume the office of President. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If the offices of President of Vietnam and General Secretary of the Communist Party of Vietnam are merged such that an individual is elected to hold a joint office as leader of the party and head of state of Vietnam, this market will resolve to that individual. If no such President is elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Assembly of Vietnam; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vietnam’s President is selected through internal decisions of the Communist Party of Vietnam and its National Assembly. The Party is holding its 14th National Congress from January 19 to January 25, 2026, after which the National Assembly of Vietnam is expected to elect leadership positions including President. This market will resolve to the next individual who is formally elected by the National Assembly to assume the office of President of Vietnam. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected to assume the office of President. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If the offices of President of Vietnam and General Secretary of the Communist Party of Vietnam are merged such that an individual is elected to hold a joint office as leader of the party and head of state of Vietnam, this market will resolve to that individual. If no such President is elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Assembly of Vietnam; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Tô Lâm at 94.5% implied probability to become Vietnam's next president, driven by his unanimous re-election as Communist Party of Vietnam General Secretary at the 14th National Congress in January 2026, consolidating his paramount authority in the one-party system where the party chief typically shapes state leadership selections. Incumbent President Lương Cường's 2021–2026 term concludes alongside the 15th National Assembly, with the incoming legislature poised to formalize Tô Lâm's expected ascension amid streamlined governance reforms and economic growth pledges. No major developments in the past 30 days have shifted sentiment; potential challenges include unforeseen health issues, internal Politburo shifts, or scandals, though these face high institutional barriers.

Vietnam’s President is selected through internal decisions of the Communist Party of Vietnam and its National Assembly. The Party is holding its 14th National Congress from January 19 to January 25, 2026, after which the National Assembly of Vietnam is expected to elect leadership positions including President.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is formally elected by the National Assembly to assume the office of President of Vietnam.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected to assume the office of President. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If the offices of President of Vietnam and General Secretary of the Communist Party of Vietnam are merged such that an individual is elected to hold a joint office as leader of the party and head of state of Vietnam, this market will resolve to that individual.

If no such President is elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Assembly of Vietnam; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$29,615,800
End Date
Jan 25, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 21, 2026, 1:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Vietnam’s President is selected through internal decisions of the Communist Party of Vietnam and its National Assembly. The Party is holding its 14th National Congress from January 19 to January 25, 2026, after which the National Assembly of Vietnam is expected to elect leadership positions including President. This market will resolve to the next individual who is formally elected by the National Assembly to assume the office of President of Vietnam. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected to assume the office of President. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If the offices of President of Vietnam and General Secretary of the Communist Party of Vietnam are merged such that an individual is elected to hold a joint office as leader of the party and head of state of Vietnam, this market will resolve to that individual. If no such President is elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Assembly of Vietnam; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next President of Vietnam" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tô Lâm" at 95%, followed by "Phan Văn Giang" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next President of Vietnam" has generated $29.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 21, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next President of Vietnam," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next President of Vietnam" is "Tô Lâm" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Phan Văn Giang" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next President of Vietnam" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.