Polymarket | The World's Largest Prediction Market

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? card icon

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

22%

chance

$21m Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? card icon

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

54%

chance

$2m Vol.

US strikes Iran by...? card icon

US strikes Iran by...?

January 18

37%

January 23

53%

January 18

37%

January 23

53%

$20m Vol.

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30? card icon

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

13%

chance

$81k Vol.

Spurs

1%

Thunder

99%

Q4 - 04:51

$5m Vol.

•NBA

Nuggets

69%

Pelicans

32%

Q4 - 01:06

$5m Vol.

•NBA

Maple Leafs

30%

Utah

71%

P1 - 13:49

$1m Vol.

•NHL

Islanders

8%

Jets

93%

P3 - 17:55

$1m Vol.

•NHL

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? card icon

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

18%

chance

$8m Vol.

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? card icon

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

43%

chance

$8m Vol.

Super Bowl Champion 2026

Seattle

24%

Los Angeles R

20%

Seattle

24%

Los Angeles R

20%

$673m Vol.

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...? card icon

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

March 31

6%

May 14

9%

March 31

6%

May 14

9%

$348k Vol.

Elon Musk # tweets January 12 - January 14, 2026? card icon

Elon Musk # tweets January 12 - January 14, 2026?

40-64

8%

65-89

40%

40-64

8%

65-89

40%

$1m Vol.

Portugal Presidential Election card icon

Portugal Presidential Election

António José Seguro (IND)

67%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

19%

António José Seguro (IND)

67%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

19%

$101m Vol.

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet? card icon

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Pam Bondi

32%

Kristi Noem

12%

Pam Bondi

32%

Kristi Noem

12%

$787k Vol.

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? card icon

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

29%

chance

$3m Vol.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? card icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh

40%

Kevin Hassett

38%

Kevin Warsh

40%

Kevin Hassett

38%

$180m Vol.

US next strikes Iran on...? card icon

US next strikes Iran on...?

January 14

10%

January 15

10%

January 14

10%

January 15

10%

$713k Vol.

Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize? card icon

Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?

71%

chance

$401k Vol.

Logan Paul’s Pikachu Illustrator Sale Price card icon

Logan Paul’s Pikachu Illustrator Sale Price

>$4m

98%

>$5m

98%

>$4m

98%

>$5m

98%

$5m Vol.

Fed decision in January? card icon

Fed decision in January?

50+ bps decrease

<1%

25 bps decrease

5%

50+ bps decrease

<1%

25 bps decrease

5%

$319m Vol.

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31? card icon

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31?

28%

chance

$2m Vol.

Presidential Election Winner 2028 card icon

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance

27%

Gavin Newsom

19%

JD Vance

27%

Gavin Newsom

19%

$185m Vol.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? card icon

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

43%

chance

$6m Vol.

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