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2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

Spain 16%

England 14%

France 13%

Argentina 11%

Polymarket

$123,651,042 Vol.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$123,651,042
End Date
Jul 20, 2026
Created At
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Beware of external links.

Market icon

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

Spain 16%

England 14%

France 13%

Argentina 11%

Polymarket

$123,651,042 Vol.

Market icon

Spain

$1,531,265 Vol.

16%

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England

$1,211,751 Vol.

14%

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France

$1,486,917 Vol.

13%

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Argentina

$1,411,837 Vol.

11%

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Brazil

$1,057,575 Vol.

10%

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Portugal

$3,878,596 Vol.

7%

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Germany

$2,386,433 Vol.

6%

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Netherlands

$2,597,343 Vol.

3%

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Norway

$2,727,927 Vol.

3%

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Italy

$2,196,020 Vol.

2%

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Belgium

$2,263,130 Vol.

2%

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Colombia

$1,817,622 Vol.

2%

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Morocco

$2,438,776 Vol.

2%

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USA

$1,909,560 Vol.

2%

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Japan

$2,058,071 Vol.

1%

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Mexico

$3,290,921 Vol.

1%

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Uruguay

$2,691,823 Vol.

1%

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Croatia

$2,714,485 Vol.

1%

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Switzerland

$2,988,757 Vol.

1%

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Ecuador

$2,330,933 Vol.

1%

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Senegal

$2,591,941 Vol.

1%

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South Korea

$3,038,333 Vol.

1%

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Austria

$2,359,571 Vol.

1%

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Ivory Coast

$1,835,999 Vol.

1%

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Canada

$3,895,038 Vol.

1%

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Scotland

$3,697,802 Vol.

<1%

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Paraguay

$2,179,086 Vol.

<1%

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Egypt

$2,726,795 Vol.

<1%

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Iran

$2,006,440 Vol.

<1%

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Ghana

$1,442,270 Vol.

<1%

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Algeria

$2,041,327 Vol.

<1%

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Tunisia

$2,118,544 Vol.

<1%

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Uzbekistan

$7,358,930 Vol.

<1%

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Qatar

$2,505,673 Vol.

<1%

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Australia

$2,004,567 Vol.

<1%

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Saudi Arabia

$4,567,398 Vol.

<1%

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New Zealand

$7,179,790 Vol.

<1%

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Haiti

$3,647,583 Vol.

<1%

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Jordan

$7,283,664 Vol.

<1%

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Curaçao

$6,172,941 Vol.

<1%

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South Africa

$4,956,546 Vol.

<1%

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Cape Verde

$2,786,472 Vol.

<1%

Beware of external links.