Manchester City's one-point deficit to leaders Liverpool, combined with their unmatched squad depth and title-winning pedigree, drives their 83.5% implied probability for Premier League runner-up, as traders anticipate Liverpool claiming first. Arsenal's shocking 0-2 home defeat to Bournemouth—exacerbated by injuries to Bukayo Saka (hamstring) and Martin Odegaard (out until late November)—has eroded their challenge, dropping them to third on 17 points and inflating their 10.5% odds amid a congested schedule. Manchester United's gritty 2-2 draw at Anfield keeps them at 4.6%, buoyed by recent wins but hampered by inconsistency, while Liverpool's slim 1.1% reflects consensus on their title edge under Arne Slot.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedMan City 84%
Arsenal 11%
Man United 4.7%
Liverpool 1.0%
$1,340,783 Vol.
$1,340,783 Vol.
Man City
84%
Arsenal
11%
Man United
5%
Liverpool
1%
Chelsea
1%
Aston Villa
1%
Brentford
<1%
Newcastle
<1%
Brighton
<1%
Bournemouth
<1%
Everton
<1%
Fulham
<1%
Sunderland
<1%
Crystal Palace
<1%
Man City 84%
Arsenal 11%
Man United 4.7%
Liverpool 1.0%
$1,340,783 Vol.
$1,340,783 Vol.
Man City
84%
Arsenal
11%
Man United
5%
Liverpool
1%
Chelsea
1%
Aston Villa
1%
Brentford
<1%
Newcastle
<1%
Brighton
<1%
Bournemouth
<1%
Everton
<1%
Fulham
<1%
Sunderland
<1%
Crystal Palace
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes 2nd in the final standings of the 2025–26 English Premier League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish 2nd in the 2025-26 EPL season (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 English Premier League season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2025, 3:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Manchester City's one-point deficit to leaders Liverpool, combined with their unmatched squad depth and title-winning pedigree, drives their 83.5% implied probability for Premier League runner-up, as traders anticipate Liverpool claiming first. Arsenal's shocking 0-2 home defeat to Bournemouth—exacerbated by injuries to Bukayo Saka (hamstring) and Martin Odegaard (out until late November)—has eroded their challenge, dropping them to third on 17 points and inflating their 10.5% odds amid a congested schedule. Manchester United's gritty 2-2 draw at Anfield keeps them at 4.6%, buoyed by recent wins but hampered by inconsistency, while Liverpool's slim 1.1% reflects consensus on their title edge under Arne Slot.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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