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Sports·ATP

2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Market icon
Sports·ATP

2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Carlos Alcaraz 36%

Jannik Sinner 32%

Novak Djokovic 6.2%

Alexander Zverev 3.4%

Polymarket

$1,006,190 Vol.

Carlos Alcaraz 36%

Jannik Sinner 32%

Novak Djokovic 6.2%

Alexander Zverev 3.4%

Polymarket

$1,006,190 Vol.

Carlos Alcaraz

$1,848 Vol.

36%

Jannik Sinner

$2,859 Vol.

32%

Novak Djokovic

$122,605 Vol.

6%

Alexander Zverev

$12,235 Vol.

3%

Lorenzo Musetti

$969 Vol.

3%

Arthur Fils

$11,167 Vol.

3%

Daniil Medvedev

$8,080 Vol.

2%

Joao Fonseca

$24,938 Vol.

2%

Jakub Mensik

$63,116 Vol.

2%

Taylor Fritz

$1,000 Vol.

2%

Jack Draper

$33,611 Vol.

1%

Jiri Lehecka

$271,689 Vol.

1%

Alexander Bublik

$20,528 Vol.

1%

Felix Auger Aliassime

$246,232 Vol.

1%

Hubert Hurkacz

$140,801 Vol.

1%

Ben Shelton

$38,109 Vol.

1%

Grigor Dimitrov

$800 Vol.

1%

Holger Rune

$741 Vol.

<1%

Andrey Rublev

$997 Vol.

<1%

Frances Tiafoe

$808 Vol.

<1%

Matteo Berrettini

$801 Vol.

<1%

Flavio Cobolli

$2,258 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz dominate trader consensus for the 2026 US Open at 36% and 35.5% implied probabilities, respectively, their virtual deadlock fueled by Sinner's recent hard-court supremacy—capping the 2024 season with US Open and Shanghai Masters titles, including a straight-sets final win over Novak Djokovic—and Alcaraz's versatile Grand Slam pedigree, highlighted by French Open and Wimbledon victories earlier this year. Both young stars (Sinner 23, Alcaraz 21) boast top ATP rankings, strong New York surface histories, and minimal injury concerns, keeping the race tight amid Djokovic's distant 6.2% amid age-related doubts at nearly 39. Emerging contenders like Zverev trail far behind, underscoring the duo's stranglehold on elite hard-court form.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,006,190
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz dominate trader consensus for the 2026 US Open at 36% and 35.5% implied probabilities, respectively, their virtual deadlock fueled by Sinner's recent hard-court supremacy—capping the 2024 season with US Open and Shanghai Masters titles, including a straight-sets final win over Novak Djokovic—and Alcaraz's versatile Grand Slam pedigree, highlighted by French Open and Wimbledon victories earlier this year. Both young stars (Sinner 23, Alcaraz 21) boast top ATP rankings, strong New York surface histories, and minimal injury concerns, keeping the race tight amid Djokovic's distant 6.2% amid age-related doubts at nearly 39. Emerging contenders like Zverev trail far behind, underscoring the duo's stranglehold on elite hard-court form.

Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz dominate trader consensus for the 2026 US Open at 36% and 35.5% implied probabilities, respectively, their virtual deadlock fueled by Sinner's recent hard-court supremacy—capping the 2024 season with US Open and Shanghai Masters titles, including a straight-sets final win over Novak Djokovic—and Alcaraz's versatile Grand Slam pedigree, highlighted by French Open and Wimbledon victories earlier this year. Both young stars (Sinner 23, Alcaraz 21) boast top ATP rankings, strong New York surface histories, and minimal injury concerns, keeping the race tight amid Djokovic's distant 6.2% amid age-related doubts at nearly 39. Emerging contenders like Zverev trail far behind, underscoring the duo's stranglehold on elite hard-court form.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Carlos Alcaraz" at 36%, followed by "Jannik Sinner" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 36¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" has generated $1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is "Carlos Alcaraz" at 36%, meaning the market assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jannik Sinner" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.