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Sports·WTA

2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Market icon
Sports·WTA

2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Aryna Sabalenka 37%

Elena Rybakina 21.4%

Iga Swiatek 9%

Coco Gauff 6.6%

Polymarket

$957,771 Vol.

Aryna Sabalenka 37%

Elena Rybakina 21.4%

Iga Swiatek 9%

Coco Gauff 6.6%

Polymarket

$957,771 Vol.

Aryna Sabalenka

$0 Vol.

37%

Elena Rybakina

$58,847 Vol.

21%

Iga Swiatek

$0 Vol.

9%

Coco Gauff

$6,729 Vol.

7%

Maya Joint

$28,551 Vol.

4%

Marie Bouzkova

$21,142 Vol.

3%

Mirra Andreeva

$15,154 Vol.

3%

Jessica Pegula

$77,576 Vol.

3%

Amanda Anisimova

$47,767 Vol.

2%

Victoria Mboko

$698 Vol.

2%

Naomi Osaka

$753 Vol.

2%

Qinwen Zheng

$754 Vol.

2%

Donna Vekic

$17,614 Vol.

1%

Liudmila Samsonova

$11,222 Vol.

1%

Madison Keys

$710 Vol.

1%

Karolina Muchova

$599 Vol.

1%

Tereza Valentova

$214,073 Vol.

1%

Emma Navarro

$13,589 Vol.

1%

Ekaterina Alexandrova

$6,381 Vol.

1%

Emma Raducanu

$39,529 Vol.

1%

Elina Svitolina

$643 Vol.

1%

Ashlyn Krueger

$16,986 Vol.

1%

Alexandra Eala

$241,446 Vol.

1%

Paula Badosa

$5,740 Vol.

1%

Diana Shnaider

$20,449 Vol.

1%

Clara Tauson

$667 Vol.

1%

Jasmine Paolini

$575 Vol.

1%

Elise Mertens

$16,968 Vol.

1%

Sofia Kenin

$609 Vol.

1%

Belinda Bencic

$0 Vol.

<1%

Linda Noskova

$620 Vol.

<1%

Xiyu Wang

$16,765 Vol.

<1%

Daria Kasatkina

$593 Vol.

<1%

Marketa Vondrousova

$512 Vol.

<1%

Jelena Ostapenko

$691 Vol.

<1%

Anastasia Potapova

$585 Vol.

<1%

Dayana Yastremska

$555 Vol.

<1%

Beatriz Haddad Maia

$24,003 Vol.

<1%

Katie Boulter

$47,179 Vol.

<1%

Barbora Krejcikova

$496 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aryna Sabalenka leads trader consensus at 37% implied probability for the 2026 US Open women's title, bolstered by her dominant 2024 US Open victory over Qinwen Zheng and subsequent China Open win on hard courts, showcasing her explosive baseline power and serve suited to the fast DecoTurf surface. Elena Rybakina's 20.7% follows strong hard-court form, including deep runs at Indian Wells and Miami earlier this year, with her booming serve giving her an edge in big moments despite recent injury hiccups. Iga Swiatek lags at 9% as the world No. 1 clay specialist with a mixed US Open history, while Coco Gauff's 6.6% reflects her youth, athleticism, and 2023 title defense potential amid home-crowd energy. Odds stabilized post-WTA Finals, emphasizing current rankings, surface affinity, and health trajectories over two years out.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$957,771
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aryna Sabalenka leads trader consensus at 37% implied probability for the 2026 US Open women's title, bolstered by her dominant 2024 US Open victory over Qinwen Zheng and subsequent China Open win on hard courts, showcasing her explosive baseline power and serve suited to the fast DecoTurf surface. Elena Rybakina's 20.7% follows strong hard-court form, including deep runs at Indian Wells and Miami earlier this year, with her booming serve giving her an edge in big moments despite recent injury hiccups. Iga Swiatek lags at 9% as the world No. 1 clay specialist with a mixed US Open history, while Coco Gauff's 6.6% reflects her youth, athleticism, and 2023 title defense potential amid home-crowd energy. Odds stabilized post-WTA Finals, emphasizing current rankings, surface affinity, and health trajectories over two years out.

Aryna Sabalenka leads trader consensus at 37% implied probability for the 2026 US Open women's title, bolstered by her dominant 2024 US Open victory over Qinwen Zheng and subsequent China Open win on hard courts, showcasing her explosive baseline power and serve suited to the fast DecoTurf surface. Elena Rybakina's 20.7% follows strong hard-court form, including deep runs at Indian Wells and Miami earlier this year, with her booming serve giving her an edge in big moments despite recent injury hiccups. Iga Swiatek lags at 9% as the world No. 1 clay specialist with a mixed US Open history, while Coco Gauff's 6.6% reflects her youth, athleticism, and 2023 title defense potential amid home-crowd energy. Odds stabilized post-WTA Finals, emphasizing current rankings, surface affinity, and health trajectories over two years out.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 40+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aryna Sabalenka" at 37%, followed by "Elena Rybakina" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" has generated $957.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)," browse the 40+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is "Aryna Sabalenka" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Elena Rybakina" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.