Aryna Sabalenka tops trader consensus at 36.5% implied probability for the 2026 US Open women's title after capturing her first crown there in 2024 by defeating Jessica Pegula in the final, bolstering her hard court dominance alongside Australian Open triumphs in 2023 and 2024. Elena Rybakina's 18.7% reflects her booming serve and consistent deep runs on the surface, including semifinals at recent Slams. Iga Swiatek trails at 9.0% due to her clay-court bias, shown by a US Open quarterfinal exit despite holding No. 2 ranking. Americans Coco Gauff (5.1%) and Pegula (4.8%) benefit from home-crowd edge and recent form, while the distant market incorporates uncertainties like injuries, rankings flux, and surface adaptations through 2025-26.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedAryna Sabalenka 37%
Elena Rybakina 18.7%
Iga Swiatek 9%
Coco Gauff 5.1%
$228,270 Vol.
$228,270 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
37%
Elena Rybakina
19%
Iga Swiatek
9%
Coco Gauff
5%
Jessica Pegula
5%
Mirra Andreeva
3%
Amanda Anisimova
2%
Victoria Mboko
2%
Naomi Osaka
2%
Emma Navarro
1%
Diana Shnaider
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Karolina Muchova
1%
Tereza Valentova
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Emma Raducanu
1%
Ashlyn Krueger
1%
Alexandra Eala
1%
Paula Badosa
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1%
Sofia Kenin
1%
Elise Mertens
1%
Belinda Bencic
<1%
Linda Noskova
<1%
Xiyu Wang
<1%
Clara Tauson
<1%
Daria Kasatkina
<1%
Donna Vekic
<1%
Liudmila Samsonova
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
<1%
Anastasia Potapova
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Qinwen Zheng
<1%
Katie Boulter
<1%
Barbora Krejcikova
<1%
Marketa Vondrousova
<1%
Marie Bouzkova
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Aryna Sabalenka 37%
Elena Rybakina 18.7%
Iga Swiatek 9%
Coco Gauff 5.1%
$228,270 Vol.
$228,270 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
37%
Elena Rybakina
19%
Iga Swiatek
9%
Coco Gauff
5%
Jessica Pegula
5%
Mirra Andreeva
3%
Amanda Anisimova
2%
Victoria Mboko
2%
Naomi Osaka
2%
Emma Navarro
1%
Diana Shnaider
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Karolina Muchova
1%
Tereza Valentova
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Emma Raducanu
1%
Ashlyn Krueger
1%
Alexandra Eala
1%
Paula Badosa
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1%
Sofia Kenin
1%
Elise Mertens
1%
Belinda Bencic
<1%
Linda Noskova
<1%
Xiyu Wang
<1%
Clara Tauson
<1%
Daria Kasatkina
<1%
Donna Vekic
<1%
Liudmila Samsonova
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
<1%
Anastasia Potapova
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Qinwen Zheng
<1%
Katie Boulter
<1%
Barbora Krejcikova
<1%
Marketa Vondrousova
<1%
Marie Bouzkova
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Aryna Sabalenka tops trader consensus at 36.5% implied probability for the 2026 US Open women's title after capturing her first crown there in 2024 by defeating Jessica Pegula in the final, bolstering her hard court dominance alongside Australian Open triumphs in 2023 and 2024. Elena Rybakina's 18.7% reflects her booming serve and consistent deep runs on the surface, including semifinals at recent Slams. Iga Swiatek trails at 9.0% due to her clay-court bias, shown by a US Open quarterfinal exit despite holding No. 2 ranking. Americans Coco Gauff (5.1%) and Pegula (4.8%) benefit from home-crowd edge and recent form, while the distant market incorporates uncertainties like injuries, rankings flux, and surface adaptations through 2025-26.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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