Trader consensus slightly favors Belgium at 41.5% implied probability to defeat the United States (31.5%) in this international soccer friendly, driven by home advantage, superior FIFA world ranking (6th vs. 16th), and unbeaten run in recent UEFA Nations League fixtures including back-to-back clean sheets. The US trails amid transitional form under coach Mauricio Pochettino, with mixed results in CONCACAF Nations League play and lingering injury concerns for stars like Christian Pulisic (doubtful per latest reports) and Folarin Balogun. Draw pricing at 27.5% highlights the evenly matched head-to-head history and defensive solidity on both sides, with no major lineup changes or weather disruptions in the past 48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

If United States wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Mar 1, 2026, 9:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...

If United States wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Mar 1, 2026, 9:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus slightly favors Belgium at 41.5% implied probability to defeat the United States (31.5%) in this international soccer friendly, driven by home advantage, superior FIFA world ranking (6th vs. 16th), and unbeaten run in recent UEFA Nations League fixtures including back-to-back clean sheets. The US trails amid transitional form under coach Mauricio Pochettino, with mixed results in CONCACAF Nations League play and lingering injury concerns for stars like Christian Pulisic (doubtful per latest reports) and Folarin Balogun. Draw pricing at 27.5% highlights the evenly matched head-to-head history and defensive solidity on both sides, with no major lineup changes or weather disruptions in the past 48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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