Carlos Alcaraz leads trader consensus at 40.5% implied probability for the 2026 French Open title, driven by his unmatched clay-court dominance at Roland Garros, including back-to-back triumphs in 2024 and 2025 over Jannik Sinner in the latter final, bolstered by superior sliding, topspin, and five-set endurance on the surface. Sinner trails closely at 32.5%, reflecting his world No. 2 status, Indian Wells Masters 1000 victory two weeks ago, and ongoing Miami deep run into semifinals as of March 28, narrowing the ATP rankings gap to 2,150 points despite Alcaraz's early Miami Round of 32 exit. Djokovic and Zverev lag at 3.4% each amid Djokovic's recent shoulder injury withdrawal from Miami and both players' inconsistent recent clay results, with clay season opener Monte Carlo looming next month.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoCarlos Alcaraz 41%
Jannik Sinner 33%
Alexander Zverev 3.4%
Novak Djokovic 3.4%
$1,525,382 Vol.
$1,525,382 Vol.
Carlos Alcaraz
41%
Jannik Sinner
33%
Alexander Zverev
3%
Novak Djokovic
3%
Lorenzo Musetti
3%
Arthur Fils
2%
Casper Ruud
1%
Jack Draper
1%
Joao Fonseca
1%
Daniil Medvedev
1%
Ben Shelton
1%
Taylor Fritz
1%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
1%
Sebastian Korda
1%
Tommy Paul
1%
Jakub Mensik
1%
Francisco Cerúndolo
1%
Andrey Rublev
1%
Tomas Machac
1%
Alex De Minaur
1%
Jiri Lehecka
1%
Felix Auger Aliassime
1%
Learner Tien
1%
Denis Shapovalov
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Alexander Bublik
<1%
Alejandro Tabilo
<1%
Flavio Cobolli
<1%
Alexei Popyrin
<1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
<1%
Karen Khachanov
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Marin Cilic
<1%
Alex Michelsen
<1%
Cameron Norrie
<1%
Jan-Lennard Struff
<1%
Ugo Humbert
<1%
Reilly Opelka
<1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Frances Tiafoe
<1%
Carlos Alcaraz 41%
Jannik Sinner 33%
Alexander Zverev 3.4%
Novak Djokovic 3.4%
$1,525,382 Vol.
$1,525,382 Vol.
Carlos Alcaraz
41%
Jannik Sinner
33%
Alexander Zverev
3%
Novak Djokovic
3%
Lorenzo Musetti
3%
Arthur Fils
2%
Casper Ruud
1%
Jack Draper
1%
Joao Fonseca
1%
Daniil Medvedev
1%
Ben Shelton
1%
Taylor Fritz
1%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
1%
Sebastian Korda
1%
Tommy Paul
1%
Jakub Mensik
1%
Francisco Cerúndolo
1%
Andrey Rublev
1%
Tomas Machac
1%
Alex De Minaur
1%
Jiri Lehecka
1%
Felix Auger Aliassime
1%
Learner Tien
1%
Denis Shapovalov
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Alexander Bublik
<1%
Alejandro Tabilo
<1%
Flavio Cobolli
<1%
Alexei Popyrin
<1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
<1%
Karen Khachanov
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Marin Cilic
<1%
Alex Michelsen
<1%
Cameron Norrie
<1%
Jan-Lennard Struff
<1%
Ugo Humbert
<1%
Reilly Opelka
<1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Frances Tiafoe
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Carlos Alcaraz leads trader consensus at 40.5% implied probability for the 2026 French Open title, driven by his unmatched clay-court dominance at Roland Garros, including back-to-back triumphs in 2024 and 2025 over Jannik Sinner in the latter final, bolstered by superior sliding, topspin, and five-set endurance on the surface. Sinner trails closely at 32.5%, reflecting his world No. 2 status, Indian Wells Masters 1000 victory two weeks ago, and ongoing Miami deep run into semifinals as of March 28, narrowing the ATP rankings gap to 2,150 points despite Alcaraz's early Miami Round of 32 exit. Djokovic and Zverev lag at 3.4% each amid Djokovic's recent shoulder injury withdrawal from Miami and both players' inconsistent recent clay results, with clay season opener Monte Carlo looming next month.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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