Trader consensus clusters around Michigan (19%), Arizona (18.4%), and Duke (17.5%) for the 2026 NCAA Tournament crown, driven by their elite 2025 recruiting classes finalized after November's signing period. Michigan's haul under new coach Dusty May pairs top-25 signee Kanon Catchings with portal stars like Vladislav Goldin, fueling rapid contention. Arizona stacks five-star Joson Sanon and Carter Bryant for Tommy Lloyd's high-octane system, while Duke's pipeline delivers Egor Demin and Khaman Maluach to Jon Scheyer's blueprint. Transfer portal parity and minimal returning production across power conferences amplify roster volatility, sustaining a tight race with upsets baked into March Madness dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoMichigan 19%
Arizona 18.5%
Duke 18%
Florida 8.9%
$22,763,585 Vol.
$22,763,585 Vol.
Michigan
19%
Arizona
19%
Duke
18%
Florida
9%
Houston
7%
Iowa State
6%
Illinois
4%
Purdue
4%
Connecticut
4%
Arkansas
3%
Michigan State
2%
St John's
2%
Virginia
1%
Gonzaga
1%
Vanderbilt
1%
Kansas
1%
Alabama
1%
Tennessee
1%
UCLA
1%
Texas Tech
1%
Nebraska
1%
Louisville
<1%
Clemson
<1%
Texas A&M
<1%
High Point
<1%
Kentucky
<1%
Saint Louis
<1%
TCU
<1%
Miami (FL)
<1%
Iowa
<1%
Villanova
<1%
Santa Clara
<1%
UCF
<1%
Miami (OH)
<1%
Northern Iowa
<1%
LIU
<1%
Prairie View A&M
<1%
Hofstra
<1%
Akron
<1%
Missouri
<1%
VCU
<1%
Texas
<1%
Cal Baptist
<1%
Furman
<1%
Utah State
<1%
Queens
<1%
Tennessee State
<1%
Wright State
<1%
Michigan 19%
Arizona 18.5%
Duke 18%
Florida 8.9%
$22,763,585 Vol.
$22,763,585 Vol.
Michigan
19%
Arizona
19%
Duke
18%
Florida
9%
Houston
7%
Iowa State
6%
Illinois
4%
Purdue
4%
Connecticut
4%
Arkansas
3%
Michigan State
2%
St John's
2%
Virginia
1%
Gonzaga
1%
Vanderbilt
1%
Kansas
1%
Alabama
1%
Tennessee
1%
UCLA
1%
Texas Tech
1%
Nebraska
1%
Louisville
<1%
Clemson
<1%
Texas A&M
<1%
High Point
<1%
Kentucky
<1%
Saint Louis
<1%
TCU
<1%
Miami (FL)
<1%
Iowa
<1%
Villanova
<1%
Santa Clara
<1%
UCF
<1%
Miami (OH)
<1%
Northern Iowa
<1%
LIU
<1%
Prairie View A&M
<1%
Hofstra
<1%
Akron
<1%
Missouri
<1%
VCU
<1%
Texas
<1%
Cal Baptist
<1%
Furman
<1%
Utah State
<1%
Queens
<1%
Tennessee State
<1%
Wright State
<1%
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Mercado abierto: Oct 31, 2025, 7:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus clusters around Michigan (19%), Arizona (18.4%), and Duke (17.5%) for the 2026 NCAA Tournament crown, driven by their elite 2025 recruiting classes finalized after November's signing period. Michigan's haul under new coach Dusty May pairs top-25 signee Kanon Catchings with portal stars like Vladislav Goldin, fueling rapid contention. Arizona stacks five-star Joson Sanon and Carter Bryant for Tommy Lloyd's high-octane system, while Duke's pipeline delivers Egor Demin and Khaman Maluach to Jon Scheyer's blueprint. Transfer portal parity and minimal returning production across power conferences amplify roster volatility, sustaining a tight race with upsets baked into March Madness dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes