Spain and France sit atop the 2026 World Cup winner market in near parity because both enter as the most recent major-tournament standouts with unmatched squad depth. Spain’s Euro 2024 triumph and continued Nations League momentum have kept their implied probability highest, while France’s blend of experience and emerging talent sustains their position just behind. England’s back-to-back European final appearances and Portugal’s consistent results round out a tight European cluster, with Brazil and Argentina the leading non-European challengers on the strength of Copa America pedigree. Recent group-stage draws and final squad announcements have reinforced rather than altered this hierarchy, leaving little daylight among the top five.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoEspaña 16.9%
Francia 16.6%
Inglaterra 11.2%
Portugal 10.2%
$1,289,597,602 Vol.
$1,289,597,602 Vol.
20 jul 2026
España
17%
Francia
17%
Inglaterra
11%
Portugal
10%
Brasil
9%
Argentina
9%
Alemania
5%
Título del grupo: Países Bajos
4%
Noruega
3%
Colombia
2%
Título del ítem del grupo: Japón
2%
Bélgica
2%
Marruecos
1%
Suiza
1%
USA
1%
Uruguay
1%
México
1%
Ecuador
1%
Croacia
1%
Turquía
1%
Senegal
1%
Austria
1%
Suecia
1%
Canadá
<1%
Corea del Sur
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Título del ítem del grupo: Escocia
<1%
Costa de Marfil
<1%
Chequia
<1%
Egipto
<1%
Irán
<1%
Argelia
<1%
Túnez
<1%
RD del Congo
<1%
Australia
<1%
Nueva Zelanda
<1%
Haití
<1%
Jordania
<1%
Título del ítem de grupo: Curaçao
<1%
Uzbekistán
<1%
Panamá
<1%
Irak
<1%
Sudáfrica
<1%
Cabo Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
España 16.9%
Francia 16.6%
Inglaterra 11.2%
Portugal 10.2%
$1,289,597,602 Vol.
$1,289,597,602 Vol.
20 jul 2026
España
$25,612,878 Vol.
17%
Francia
$31,899,652 Vol.
17%
Inglaterra
$21,272,025 Vol.
11%
Portugal
$25,963,831 Vol.
10%
Brasil
$23,036,384 Vol.
9%
Argentina
$22,767,411 Vol.
9%
Alemania
$21,874,333 Vol.
5%
Título del grupo: Países Bajos
$24,660,281 Vol.
4%
Noruega
$25,969,310 Vol.
3%
Colombia
$21,364,005 Vol.
2%
Título del ítem del grupo: Japón
$27,862,805 Vol.
2%
Bélgica
$21,304,944 Vol.
2%
Marruecos
$27,803,201 Vol.
1%
Suiza
$23,997,947 Vol.
1%
USA
$40,192,423 Vol.
1%
Uruguay
$22,202,588 Vol.
1%
México
$26,241,793 Vol.
1%
Ecuador
$29,030,156 Vol.
1%
Croacia
$28,961,624 Vol.
1%
Turquía
$17,869,254 Vol.
1%
Senegal
$24,389,767 Vol.
1%
Austria
$29,313,886 Vol.
1%
Suecia
$15,848,779 Vol.
1%
Canadá
$29,283,275 Vol.
<1%
Corea del Sur
$32,020,745 Vol.
<1%
Ghana
$24,154,528 Vol.
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
$13,799,165 Vol.
<1%
Paraguay
$25,851,014 Vol.
<1%
Título del ítem del grupo: Escocia
$30,057,127 Vol.
<1%
Costa de Marfil
$31,853,534 Vol.
<1%
Chequia
$12,369,138 Vol.
<1%
Egipto
$29,867,016 Vol.
<1%
Irán
$31,992,207 Vol.
<1%
Argelia
$26,659,298 Vol.
<1%
Túnez
$27,823,459 Vol.
<1%
RD del Congo
$26,839,271 Vol.
<1%
Australia
$28,887,683 Vol.
<1%
Nueva Zelanda
$35,129,139 Vol.
<1%
Haití
$20,083,330 Vol.
<1%
Jordania
$30,415,177 Vol.
<1%
Título del ítem de grupo: Curaçao
$40,369,927 Vol.
<1%
Uzbekistán
$47,539,254 Vol.
<1%
Panamá
$17,501,578 Vol.
<1%
Irak
$16,488,111 Vol.
<1%
Sudáfrica
$33,178,094 Vol.
<1%
Cabo Verde
$27,529,508 Vol.
<1%
Qatar
$29,244,253 Vol.
<1%
Saudi Arabia
$32,326,586 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain and France sit atop the 2026 World Cup winner market in near parity because both enter as the most recent major-tournament standouts with unmatched squad depth. Spain’s Euro 2024 triumph and continued Nations League momentum have kept their implied probability highest, while France’s blend of experience and emerging talent sustains their position just behind. England’s back-to-back European final appearances and Portugal’s consistent results round out a tight European cluster, with Brazil and Argentina the leading non-European challengers on the strength of Copa America pedigree. Recent group-stage draws and final squad announcements have reinforced rather than altered this hierarchy, leaving little daylight among the top five.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Volumen
$1,289,597,602Fecha de finalización
20 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain and France sit atop the 2026 World Cup winner market in near parity because both enter as the most recent major-tournament standouts with unmatched squad depth. Spain’s Euro 2024 triumph and continued Nations League momentum have kept their implied probability highest, while France’s blend of experience and emerging talent sustains their position just behind. England’s back-to-back European final appearances and Portugal’s consistent results round out a tight European cluster, with Brazil and Argentina the leading non-European challengers on the strength of Copa America pedigree. Recent group-stage draws and final squad announcements have reinforced rather than altered this hierarchy, leaving little daylight among the top five.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,289,597,602Fecha de finalización
20 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain and France sit atop the 2026 World Cup winner market in near parity because both enter as the most recent major-tournament standouts with unmatched squad depth. Spain’s Euro 2024 triumph and continued Nations League momentum have kept their implied probability highest, while France’s blend of experience and emerging talent sustains their position just behind. England’s back-to-back European final appearances and Portugal’s consistent results round out a tight European cluster, with Brazil and Argentina the leading non-European challengers on the strength of Copa America pedigree. Recent group-stage draws and final squad announcements have reinforced rather than altered this hierarchy, leaving little daylight among the top five.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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