France leads the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner market at 18.4% implied probability after opening with a 3-1 victory over Senegal featuring multiple goals from Kylian Mbappé, while Spain sits at 13.8% following a surprising 0-0 draw against Cape Verde that tempered expectations from its Euro 2024-winning squad. England (12.8%) and defending champion Argentina (11.6%) remain tightly clustered behind them after strong early results, including England’s 4-2 win over Croatia and Argentina’s emphatic performances. The bunched pricing among the top five reflects the expanded 48-team format, comparable squad depth and star power across elite European sides, and limited separation in group-stage results so far. Portugal, Brazil, and Germany trail but stay within striking distance as traders weigh recent form, injuries, and knockout-stage matchups that remain weeks away.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoEspaña 100.0%
Nueva Zelanda <1%
Suiza <1%
Inglaterra <1%
$4,327,988,660 Vol.
$4,327,988,660 Vol.
España
Sí
Nueva Zelanda
No
Suiza
No
Inglaterra
No
Francia
No
Corea del Sur
No
Haití
No
Brasil
No
Jordania
No
Título del ítem de grupo: Curaçao
No
Argentina
No
Alemania
No
Colombia
No
Irán
No
Portugal
No
Ghana
No
Países Bajos
No
Argelia
No
Bosnia-Herzegovina
No
Italia
No
USA
No
Canadá
No
Turquía
No
Uruguay
No
México
No
Paraguay
No
Escocia
No
Perú
No
Japón
No
Noruega
No
Túnez
No
Ecuador
No
Uzbekistán
No
Marruecos
No
Panamá
No
Irak
No
Sudáfrica
No
Senegal
No
Costa de Marfil
No
RD del Congo
No
Cabo Verde
No
Chequia
No
Qatar
No
Bélgica
No
Australia
No
Saudi Arabia
No
Austria
No
Croacia
No
Egipto
No
Suecia
No
España 100.0%
Nueva Zelanda <1%
Suiza <1%
Inglaterra <1%
$4,327,988,660 Vol.
$4,327,988,660 Vol.
España
Sí
Nueva Zelanda
No
Suiza
No
Inglaterra
No
Francia
No
Corea del Sur
No
Haití
No
Brasil
No
Jordania
No
Título del ítem de grupo: Curaçao
No
Argentina
No
Alemania
No
Colombia
No
Irán
No
Portugal
No
Ghana
No
Países Bajos
No
Argelia
No
Bosnia-Herzegovina
No
Italia
No
USA
No
Canadá
No
Turquía
No
Uruguay
No
México
No
Paraguay
No
Escocia
No
Perú
No
Japón
No
Noruega
No
Túnez
No
Ecuador
No
Uzbekistán
No
Marruecos
No
Panamá
No
Irak
No
Sudáfrica
No
Senegal
No
Costa de Marfil
No
RD del Congo
No
Cabo Verde
No
Chequia
No
Qatar
No
Bélgica
No
Australia
No
Saudi Arabia
No
Austria
No
Croacia
No
Egipto
No
Suecia
No
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resultado propuesto: Sí
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Sí
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resultado propuesto: Sí
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Sí
France leads the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner market at 18.4% implied probability after opening with a 3-1 victory over Senegal featuring multiple goals from Kylian Mbappé, while Spain sits at 13.8% following a surprising 0-0 draw against Cape Verde that tempered expectations from its Euro 2024-winning squad. England (12.8%) and defending champion Argentina (11.6%) remain tightly clustered behind them after strong early results, including England’s 4-2 win over Croatia and Argentina’s emphatic performances. The bunched pricing among the top five reflects the expanded 48-team format, comparable squad depth and star power across elite European sides, and limited separation in group-stage results so far. Portugal, Brazil, and Germany trail but stay within striking distance as traders weigh recent form, injuries, and knockout-stage matchups that remain weeks away.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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