Trader consensus favors Switzerland at 52.5% implied probability to win FIFA World Cup 2026 Group B, driven by their dominant UEFA qualifying campaign topping a tough group ahead of Sweden and Slovenia, with Granit Xhaka and Breel Embolo anchoring midfield control and clinical finishing. Canada's 26% reflects co-host home advantage, including the June 12 opener versus Bosnia and Herzegovina at BMO Field in Toronto, bolstered by Alphonso Davies' pace and Jonathan David's qualifier form (8 goals in last 12 internationals). Bosnia's inclusion in the 21.5% BIH/ITA/NIR/WAL outcome follows their March 26 playoff penalty triumph over Italy after edging Wales, led by veteran Edin Džeko's hold-up play. Qatar sits at 2.6% post-2022 disappointments. April 12 camps confirm full squad fitness, sustaining pre-tournament positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSwitzerland 53%
Canada 26%
BIH/ITA/NIR/WAL 22%
Qatar 2.6%
$40,861 Vol.
$40,861 Vol.
Switzerland
53%
Canada
26%
BIH/ITA/NIR/WAL
22%
Qatar
3%
Switzerland 53%
Canada 26%
BIH/ITA/NIR/WAL 22%
Qatar 2.6%
$40,861 Vol.
$40,861 Vol.
Switzerland
53%
Canada
26%
BIH/ITA/NIR/WAL
22%
Qatar
3%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Dec 5, 2025, 6:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Switzerland at 52.5% implied probability to win FIFA World Cup 2026 Group B, driven by their dominant UEFA qualifying campaign topping a tough group ahead of Sweden and Slovenia, with Granit Xhaka and Breel Embolo anchoring midfield control and clinical finishing. Canada's 26% reflects co-host home advantage, including the June 12 opener versus Bosnia and Herzegovina at BMO Field in Toronto, bolstered by Alphonso Davies' pace and Jonathan David's qualifier form (8 goals in last 12 internationals). Bosnia's inclusion in the 21.5% BIH/ITA/NIR/WAL outcome follows their March 26 playoff penalty triumph over Italy after edging Wales, led by veteran Edin Džeko's hold-up play. Qatar sits at 2.6% post-2022 disappointments. April 12 camps confirm full squad fitness, sustaining pre-tournament positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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