Trader consensus heavily favors Brazil at 77% implied probability to win Group C, buoyed by their pedigree as five-time FIFA World Cup champions and a 3-1 friendly victory over Croatia on March 31 despite Rodrygo's season-ending ACL tear in early March that sidelines the Real Madrid star. Morocco's 19.5% pricing reflects their momentum from topping CAF qualifiers as the first African team to secure a spot and a recent 2-1 friendly win over Paraguay, echoing their 2022 semifinal upset potential against Brazil. Scotland's 4.3% share accounts for recent qualifier success but tempered by narrow friendly defeats to Japan and Ivory Coast in late March, while Haiti lingers at 0.3% as the group's clear underdog post-CONCACAF qualification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBrazil 77%
Morocco 20%
Scotland 4.3%
Haiti <1%
$84,200 Vol.
$84,200 Vol.
Brazil
77%
Morocco
20%
Scotland
4%
Haiti
<1%
Brazil 77%
Morocco 20%
Scotland 4.3%
Haiti <1%
$84,200 Vol.
$84,200 Vol.
Brazil
77%
Morocco
20%
Scotland
4%
Haiti
<1%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Brazil at 77% implied probability to win Group C, buoyed by their pedigree as five-time FIFA World Cup champions and a 3-1 friendly victory over Croatia on March 31 despite Rodrygo's season-ending ACL tear in early March that sidelines the Real Madrid star. Morocco's 19.5% pricing reflects their momentum from topping CAF qualifiers as the first African team to secure a spot and a recent 2-1 friendly win over Paraguay, echoing their 2022 semifinal upset potential against Brazil. Scotland's 4.3% share accounts for recent qualifier success but tempered by narrow friendly defeats to Japan and Ivory Coast in late March, while Haiti lingers at 0.3% as the group's clear underdog post-CONCACAF qualification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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