Trader consensus heavily favors Brazil at 76.5% implied probability to top FIFA World Cup 2026 Group C, reflecting their five-time champion pedigree and attacking depth led by Vinícius Júnior and Endrick, even amid a late-April injury wave ruling out Rodrygo (ACL tear) and Éder Militão (hamstring surgery) while teenage prospect Estêvão races to recover from a grade-4 hamstring strain. Morocco sits at 18.5% as the viable challenger, bolstered by their 2022 semifinal run, tactical discipline in CAF qualifiers, and recent friendlies (1-1 Ecuador, 2-1 Paraguay), though Achraf Hakimi's hamstring setback targeting a late-May return tempers enthusiasm ahead of the June 13 opener versus Brazil. Scotland (5.1%) and Haiti (0.2%) trail as underdogs, leveraging physicality and qualifiers grit but lacking the firepower or experience to seriously contend for advancement from the group stage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBrazil 77%
Morocco 19%
Scotland 5.2%
Haiti <1%
$216,755 Vol.
$216,755 Vol.
Brazil
77%
Morocco
19%
Scotland
5%
Haiti
<1%
Brazil 77%
Morocco 19%
Scotland 5.2%
Haiti <1%
$216,755 Vol.
$216,755 Vol.
Brazil
77%
Morocco
19%
Scotland
5%
Haiti
<1%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Brazil at 76.5% implied probability to top FIFA World Cup 2026 Group C, reflecting their five-time champion pedigree and attacking depth led by Vinícius Júnior and Endrick, even amid a late-April injury wave ruling out Rodrygo (ACL tear) and Éder Militão (hamstring surgery) while teenage prospect Estêvão races to recover from a grade-4 hamstring strain. Morocco sits at 18.5% as the viable challenger, bolstered by their 2022 semifinal run, tactical discipline in CAF qualifiers, and recent friendlies (1-1 Ecuador, 2-1 Paraguay), though Achraf Hakimi's hamstring setback targeting a late-May return tempers enthusiasm ahead of the June 13 opener versus Brazil. Scotland (5.1%) and Haiti (0.2%) trail as underdogs, leveraging physicality and qualifiers grit but lacking the firepower or experience to seriously contend for advancement from the group stage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions