Brazil's trader consensus at 77% implied probability to top FIFA World Cup 2026 Group C stems from their elite FIFA ranking (6th globally), unmatched five-time champion history, and dominant March friendlies like a 3-1 win over Croatia under Carlo Ancelotti, bolstered by a fully fit squad featuring Vinícius Júnior, Endrick, and midfield depth despite Neymar's omission. Morocco's 19.5% reflects 2022 semifinal pedigree and 8th ranking, but recent injury setbacks—including Nayef Aguerd's March muscle issue and a key star's surgery announced April 9—have eroded momentum from mixed friendlies. Scotland garners 4.3% on gritty qualification (4-2 over Denmark) and recovered fitness, while Haiti trails at 0.3% as the 83rd-ranked minnows with limited CONCACAF form.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBrazil 77%
Morocco 20%
Scotland 4.3%
Haiti <1%
$84,210 Vol.
$84,210 Vol.
Brazil
77%
Morocco
20%
Scotland
4%
Haiti
<1%
Brazil 77%
Morocco 20%
Scotland 4.3%
Haiti <1%
$84,210 Vol.
$84,210 Vol.
Brazil
77%
Morocco
20%
Scotland
4%
Haiti
<1%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Brazil's trader consensus at 77% implied probability to top FIFA World Cup 2026 Group C stems from their elite FIFA ranking (6th globally), unmatched five-time champion history, and dominant March friendlies like a 3-1 win over Croatia under Carlo Ancelotti, bolstered by a fully fit squad featuring Vinícius Júnior, Endrick, and midfield depth despite Neymar's omission. Morocco's 19.5% reflects 2022 semifinal pedigree and 8th ranking, but recent injury setbacks—including Nayef Aguerd's March muscle issue and a key star's surgery announced April 9—have eroded momentum from mixed friendlies. Scotland garners 4.3% on gritty qualification (4-2 over Denmark) and recovered fitness, while Haiti trails at 0.3% as the 83rd-ranked minnows with limited CONCACAF form.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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