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Eurovision Winner 2026

Market icon

Eurovision Winner 2026

Finland 34.8%

France 13.2%

Denmark 11.8%

Australia 8.1%

Polymarket

$45,705,865 Vol.

Finland 34.8%

France 13.2%

Denmark 11.8%

Australia 8.1%

Polymarket

$45,705,865 Vol.

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Finland

$1,805,326 Vol.

35%

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France

$1,249,832 Vol.

13%

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Denmark

$841,767 Vol.

12%

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Australia

$1,111,403 Vol.

8%

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Greece

$1,241,775 Vol.

7%

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Israel

$1,151,581 Vol.

4%

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Sweden

$844,395 Vol.

4%

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Italy

$1,414,441 Vol.

3%

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Ukraine

$1,044,777 Vol.

2%

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Romania

$817,333 Vol.

2%

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Malta

$918,961 Vol.

1%

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Czechia

$731,793 Vol.

1%

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Cyprus

$1,048,899 Vol.

1%

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Bulgaria

$1,040,076 Vol.

1%

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Germany

$804,515 Vol.

1%

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United Kingdom

$667,945 Vol.

1%

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Belgium

$1,173,861 Vol.

1%

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Croatia

$897,697 Vol.

1%

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Luxembourg

$891,814 Vol.

1%

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Norway

$1,205,527 Vol.

1%

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Serbia

$751,010 Vol.

1%

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Switzerland

$2,158,472 Vol.

1%

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Albania

$1,700,889 Vol.

<1%

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Latvia

$1,559,714 Vol.

<1%

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Moldova

$902,402 Vol.

<1%

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Azerbaijan

$2,160,342 Vol.

<1%

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Lithuania

$1,285,343 Vol.

<1%

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Austria

$1,569,149 Vol.

<1%

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Estonia

$1,971,246 Vol.

<1%

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Portugal

$1,822,389 Vol.

<1%

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San Marino

$1,866,555 Vol.

<1%

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Armenia

$1,699,500 Vol.

<1%

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Georgia

$1,636,547 Vol.

<1%

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Montenegro

$2,160,426 Vol.

<1%

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Poland

$1,567,373 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by violin virtuoso Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen has surged to frontrunner status at 35% implied probability following their UMK victory on February 28, captivating traders with its high-energy pop-folk fusion and viral staging that plays to both jury sophistication and televote appeal, as echoed in top rankings from The Model forecasts and OGAE polls. France's operatic powerhouse Monroe ("Regarde") and Denmark's emotive Søren Torpegaard ("Før vi går hjem") trail closely, buoyed by strong jury predictions amid recent non-stop trends, while Australia's Delta Goodrem leverages superstar draw with "Eclipse" and Greece builds sleeper buzz via Akylas' viral "Ferto." In this fragmented field ahead of Vienna's May semis, pre-parties like Eurovision in Concert and remaining national finals—such as Poland's recent Alicja win—could ignite shifts, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in real-money wagers.

Finland's "Liekinheitin" by violin virtuoso Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen has surged to frontrunner status at 35% implied probability following their UMK victory on February 28, captivating traders with its high-energy pop-folk fusion and viral staging that plays to both jury sophistication and televote appeal, as echoed in top rankings from The Model forecasts and OGAE polls. France's operatic powerhouse Monroe ("Regarde") and Denmark's emotive Søren Torpegaard ("Før vi går hjem") trail closely, buoyed by strong jury predictions amid recent non-stop trends, while Australia's Delta Goodrem leverages superstar draw with "Eclipse" and Greece builds sleeper buzz via Akylas' viral "Ferto." In this fragmented field ahead of Vienna's May semis, pre-parties like Eurovision in Concert and remaining national finals—such as Poland's recent Alicja win—could ignite shifts, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in real-money wagers.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by violin virtuoso Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen has surged to frontrunner status at 35% implied probability following their UMK victory on February 28, captivating traders with its high-energy pop-folk fusion and viral staging that plays to both jury sophistication and televote appeal, as echoed in top rankings from The Model forecasts and OGAE polls. France's operatic powerhouse Monroe ("Regarde") and Denmark's emotive Søren Torpegaard ("Før vi går hjem") trail closely, buoyed by strong jury predictions amid recent non-stop trends, while Australia's Delta Goodrem leverages superstar draw with "Eclipse" and Greece builds sleeper buzz via Akylas' viral "Ferto." In this fragmented field ahead of Vienna's May semis, pre-parties like Eurovision in Concert and remaining national finals—such as Poland's recent Alicja win—could ignite shifts, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in real-money wagers.

Finland's "Liekinheitin" by violin virtuoso Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen has surged to frontrunner status at 35% implied probability following their UMK victory on February 28, captivating traders with its high-energy pop-folk fusion and viral staging that plays to both jury sophistication and televote appeal, as echoed in top rankings from The Model forecasts and OGAE polls. France's operatic powerhouse Monroe ("Regarde") and Denmark's emotive Søren Torpegaard ("Før vi går hjem") trail closely, buoyed by strong jury predictions amid recent non-stop trends, while Australia's Delta Goodrem leverages superstar draw with "Eclipse" and Greece builds sleeper buzz via Akylas' viral "Ferto." In this fragmented field ahead of Vienna's May semis, pre-parties like Eurovision in Concert and remaining national finals—such as Poland's recent Alicja win—could ignite shifts, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in real-money wagers.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

Related

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Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?

19%
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Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

67%
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Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

88%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision Winner 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finland" at 35%, followed by "France" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 35¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision Winner 2026" has generated $45.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision Winner 2026," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision Winner 2026" is "Finland" at 35%, meaning the market assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "France" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision Winner 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.