Market icon

Eurovision Winner 2026

Market icon

Eurovision Winner 2026

Finland 35.1%

France 12.6%

Denmark 11.3%

Australia 8.0%

Polymarket

$47,338,730 Vol.

Finland 35.1%

France 12.6%

Denmark 11.3%

Australia 8.0%

Polymarket

$47,338,730 Vol.

Market icon

Finland

$1,817,147 Vol.

35%

Market icon

France

$1,345,210 Vol.

13%

Market icon

Denmark

$853,922 Vol.

11%

Market icon

Australia

$1,135,867 Vol.

8%

Market icon

Greece

$1,258,870 Vol.

7%

Market icon

Israel

$1,175,584 Vol.

4%

Market icon

Sweden

$910,145 Vol.

3%

Market icon

Italy

$1,462,709 Vol.

3%

Market icon

Ukraine

$1,070,500 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Romania

$828,775 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Malta

$926,789 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Czechia

$753,691 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Cyprus

$1,054,273 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Bulgaria

$1,053,316 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Moldova

$1,037,022 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Germany

$808,582 Vol.

1%

Market icon

United Kingdom

$670,136 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Belgium

$1,181,697 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Croatia

$905,813 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Norway

$1,225,326 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Switzerland

$2,165,424 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Luxembourg

$923,533 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Albania

$1,792,437 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Azerbaijan

$2,240,552 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Lithuania

$1,366,676 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Serbia

$756,826 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Austria

$1,643,434 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Estonia

$2,119,389 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Latvia

$1,666,497 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Portugal

$1,859,493 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

San Marino

$1,952,879 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Armenia

$1,773,777 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Georgia

$1,702,676 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Montenegro

$2,242,702 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Poland

$1,659,676 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen, selected via UMK on February 28, has propelled the nation to frontrunner status at 35.1% implied probability on Polymarket, thanks to its electrifying violin-flamethrower staging, high jury scores, and viral buzz blending powerful vocals with spectacle—ideal for broad televote appeal in Vienna. France's recent entry reveal, Monroe's "Regarde," vaulted it to 12.4% as a jury favorite tied with Australia's Delta Goodrem "Eclipse," while Denmark's Torpegaard Lund's "Før vi går hjem" holds 11.3% on strong precursor polling like OGAE. With national selections ongoing through April and semi-finals looming May 12-14, trader consensus reflects early momentum shifts from confirmed acts, though unannounced entries could reshape the field.

Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen, selected via UMK on February 28, has propelled the nation to frontrunner status at 35.1% implied probability on Polymarket, thanks to its electrifying violin-flamethrower staging, high jury scores, and viral buzz blending powerful vocals with spectacle—ideal for broad televote appeal in Vienna. France's recent entry reveal, Monroe's "Regarde," vaulted it to 12.4% as a jury favorite tied with Australia's Delta Goodrem "Eclipse," while Denmark's Torpegaard Lund's "Før vi går hjem" holds 11.3% on strong precursor polling like OGAE. With national selections ongoing through April and semi-finals looming May 12-14, trader consensus reflects early momentum shifts from confirmed acts, though unannounced entries could reshape the field.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen, selected via UMK on February 28, has propelled the nation to frontrunner status at 35.1% implied probability on Polymarket, thanks to its electrifying violin-flamethrower staging, high jury scores, and viral buzz blending powerful vocals with spectacle—ideal for broad televote appeal in Vienna. France's recent entry reveal, Monroe's "Regarde," vaulted it to 12.4% as a jury favorite tied with Australia's Delta Goodrem "Eclipse," while Denmark's Torpegaard Lund's "Før vi går hjem" holds 11.3% on strong precursor polling like OGAE. With national selections ongoing through April and semi-finals looming May 12-14, trader consensus reflects early momentum shifts from confirmed acts, though unannounced entries could reshape the field.

Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen, selected via UMK on February 28, has propelled the nation to frontrunner status at 35.1% implied probability on Polymarket, thanks to its electrifying violin-flamethrower staging, high jury scores, and viral buzz blending powerful vocals with spectacle—ideal for broad televote appeal in Vienna. France's recent entry reveal, Monroe's "Regarde," vaulted it to 12.4% as a jury favorite tied with Australia's Delta Goodrem "Eclipse," while Denmark's Torpegaard Lund's "Før vi går hjem" holds 11.3% on strong precursor polling like OGAE. With national selections ongoing through April and semi-finals looming May 12-14, trader consensus reflects early momentum shifts from confirmed acts, though unannounced entries could reshape the field.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

Related

Market icon

Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?

19%
Market icon

Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

72%
Market icon

Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

88%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision Winner 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finland" at 35%, followed by "France" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 35¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision Winner 2026" has generated $47.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision Winner 2026," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision Winner 2026" is "Finland" at 35%, meaning the market assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "France" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision Winner 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.