Market icon
Politics·Culture

Elon Musk # tweets March 27 - April 3, 2026?

Market icon
Politics·Culture

Elon Musk # tweets March 27 - April 3, 2026?

Mar 31

Apr 3

Apr 7

Mar 31

Apr 3

Apr 7

TWEET COUNT
54
Time left
TWEETS
54
Time left

240-259 16.4%

260-279 16%

220-239 13.8%

280-299 12%

Polymarket

$8,528,576 Vol.

240-259 16.4%

260-279 16%

220-239 13.8%

280-299 12%

Polymarket

$8,528,576 Vol.

40-59

$1,465,937 Vol.

<1%

60-79

$127,763 Vol.

<1%

80-99

$63,315 Vol.

<1%

100-119

$96,008 Vol.

<1%

120-139

$73,823 Vol.

<1%

140-159

$100,282 Vol.

<1%

160-179

$75,036 Vol.

2%

180-199

$77,195 Vol.

5%

200-219

$72,978 Vol.

8%

220-239

$84,352 Vol.

14%

240-259

$63,255 Vol.

16%

260-279

$77,033 Vol.

16%

280-299

$59,494 Vol.

12%

300-319

$47,199 Vol.

10%

320-339

$48,041 Vol.

7%

340-359

$45,832 Vol.

3%

360-379

$45,451 Vol.

3%

380-399

$55,764 Vol.

1%

400-419

$64,349 Vol.

1%

420-439

$64,069 Vol.

1%

440-459

$51,482 Vol.

<1%

460-479

$56,284 Vol.

1%

480-499

$49,674 Vol.

<1%

500-519

$44,622 Vol.

<1%

520-539

$58,269 Vol.

<1%

540-559

$73,048 Vol.

<1%

560-579

$102,922 Vol.

<1%

580+

$116,292 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 27 12:00 PM ET to April 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk X posts market for March 27–April 3 tightly clusters implied probabilities around 220–279 posts, with 240–259 (16.4%) and 260–279 (16.0%) edging out due to his recent weekly averages of 250–270 from resolved markets like March 20–27. A 71-post outburst on March 27 fueled by viral national debt debates set a high early pace, but March 28 slowed to 12 posts amid lighter engagement on Tesla FSD safety and SpaceX factory buzz, per XTracker data showing 54 total posts through March 29 morning (29% progress). Competitive dynamics hinge on potential spikes in the remaining five days from political firestorms or company announcements, as Musk's posting frequency notoriously fluctuates with cultural hot topics.

Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk X posts market for March 27–April 3 tightly clusters implied probabilities around 220–279 posts, with 240–259 (16.4%) and 260–279 (16.0%) edging out due to his recent weekly averages of 250–270 from resolved markets like March 20–27. A 71-post outburst on March 27 fueled by viral national debt debates set a high early pace, but March 28 slowed to 12 posts amid lighter engagement on Tesla FSD safety and SpaceX factory buzz, per XTracker data showing 54 total posts through March 29 morning (29% progress). Competitive dynamics hinge on potential spikes in the remaining five days from political firestorms or company announcements, as Musk's posting frequency notoriously fluctuates with cultural hot topics.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 27 12:00 PM ET to April 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk X posts market for March 27–April 3 tightly clusters implied probabilities around 220–279 posts, with 240–259 (16.4%) and 260–279 (16.0%) edging out due to his recent weekly averages of 250–270 from resolved markets like March 20–27. A 71-post outburst on March 27 fueled by viral national debt debates set a high early pace, but March 28 slowed to 12 posts amid lighter engagement on Tesla FSD safety and SpaceX factory buzz, per XTracker data showing 54 total posts through March 29 morning (29% progress). Competitive dynamics hinge on potential spikes in the remaining five days from political firestorms or company announcements, as Musk's posting frequency notoriously fluctuates with cultural hot topics.

Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk X posts market for March 27–April 3 tightly clusters implied probabilities around 220–279 posts, with 240–259 (16.4%) and 260–279 (16.0%) edging out due to his recent weekly averages of 250–270 from resolved markets like March 20–27. A 71-post outburst on March 27 fueled by viral national debt debates set a high early pace, but March 28 slowed to 12 posts amid lighter engagement on Tesla FSD safety and SpaceX factory buzz, per XTracker data showing 54 total posts through March 29 morning (29% progress). Competitive dynamics hinge on potential spikes in the remaining five days from political firestorms or company announcements, as Musk's posting frequency notoriously fluctuates with cultural hot topics.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk # tweets March 27 - April 3, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "240-259" at 16%, followed by "260-279" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 16¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk # tweets March 27 - April 3, 2026?" has generated $8.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk # tweets March 27 - April 3, 2026?," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Elon Musk # tweets March 27 - April 3, 2026?" is "240-259" at 16%, meaning the market assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "260-279" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk # tweets March 27 - April 3, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.