When will the DHS shutdown end?

When will the DHS shutdown end?

23%

April 5-8

$673K Vol.

$101K today

$77.7K Liq.

Ends in 28 days

How long will the DHS shutdown last?

How long will the DHS shutdown last?

99%

48+ days

$1M Vol.

$63.2K today

$44.5K Liq.

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

84%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$254K Vol.

$22.8K Liq.

11

Ends in 7 months

Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?

Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?

1%

$37.9K Vol.

$4.8K Liq.

Ends in 12 days

Number of TSA passengers March 30 - April 5?

Number of TSA passengers March 30 - April 5?

63%

17-17.5m

$4.4K Vol.

$4.1K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

41%

December 31, 2026

$559K Vol.

$310 Liq.

27

Number of US Flights Delayed April 1?

Number of US Flights Delayed April 1?

50%

>5,000

$717 Vol.

$471 Liq.

Over 250 US flights cancelled on April 1?

Over 250 US flights cancelled on April 1?

76%

$704 Vol.

$131 Liq.

Number of US Flights Delayed March 29?

Number of US Flights Delayed March 29?

<1%

6,500-7,000

$22.4K Vol.

$15.6K Liq.

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

8%

$102K Vol.

$7.9K Liq.

2

Ends in 3 months

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

97%

March 31

$40.8K Vol.

$15.0K Liq.

13

Ends in 28 days

Trump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?

Trump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?

19%

$10 Vol.

$4.7K Liq.

Ends in 28 days

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

27%

Isfahan nuclear facility

$511K Vol.

$115K today

$16.8K Liq.

139

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

61%

December 31, 2026

$7.1K Vol.

$855 Liq.

1

Ends in 9 months

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 5?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 5?

27%

28°C

$3.3K Vol.

$17.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

White House # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?

White House # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?

51%

160-179

$8.5K Vol.

$24.8K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

White House # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

White House # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

34%

160-179

$30.8K Vol.

$15.7K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

58%

180-199

$104K Vol.

$5.5K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

55%

US x Iran Ceasefire

$102K Vol.

$55.0K Liq.

3

Ends in 7 months

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

76%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$2.1K Vol.

$127K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Gov Shutdown.

Polymarket currently hosts 606 active markets for Gov Shutdown that lets you track or trade on predictions like “When will the DHS shutdown end?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $3.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “How long will the DHS shutdown last?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “How long will the DHS shutdown last?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to 5+ days. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Gov Shutdown predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.