Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

100%

$51M Vol.

$37M today

$7M Liq.

2

Ends in 6 days

Iran military action against Israel on...?

Iran military action against Israel on...?

100%

March 24

$2M Vol.

$858K today

$1M Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

84%

December 31

$7M Vol.

$562K today

$373K Liq.

294

Ends in 6 days

Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

96%

March 26

$784K Vol.

$495K today

$75.1K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Military action against Iran ends on...?

Military action against Iran ends on...?

82%

Military action through March 31

$3M Vol.

$284K today

$143K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

44%

Pakistan

$42.1K Vol.

$173K Liq.

1

Ends in 3 months

Hezbollah military action against Israel on...?

Hezbollah military action against Israel on...?

94%

March 25

$88.1K Vol.

$40.8K Liq.

1

Ends in 6 days

Houthi strike on Israel by...?

Houthi strike on Israel by...?

26%

April 15

$475K Vol.

$33.3K Liq.

133

Ends in 6 days

Military action against Iran ends by...?

Military action against Iran ends by...?

17%

March 31

$136K Vol.

$69.9K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Israel military action against Beirut on...?

Israel military action against Beirut on...?

90%

March 25

$39.3K Vol.

$41.2K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Will another country conduct military action against Iran by...?

Will another country conduct military action against Iran by...?

33%

April 30

$79.5K Vol.

$32.5K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Hezbollah military action against Israel on...?

Hezbollah military action against Israel on...?

77%

April 2

$19.7K Vol.

$7.4K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?

Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?

89%

March 25

$69.5K Vol.

$43.5K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?

What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?

36%

Ras Tanura

$20.4K Vol.

$85.2K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Iran successfully targets shipping on...?

Iran successfully targets shipping on...?

12%

March 29

$89.1K Vol.

$79.3K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

24%

April 30

$150K Vol.

$59.9K Liq.

3

Ends in about 1 month

Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?

Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?

8%

$12.3K Vol.

$21.6K Liq.

2

Ends in about 1 month

How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?

How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?

65%

<2

$3.1K Vol.

$19.0K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by...?

Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by...?

38%

April 30

$2.7K Vol.

$24.8K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

How many ships will Iran successfully target by March 31?

How many ships will Iran successfully target by March 31?

90%

<5

$40.4K Vol.

$48.1K Liq.

1

Ends in 6 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Israel X Iran.

Polymarket currently hosts 144 active markets for Israel X Iran that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $64.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to Yes. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Israel X Iran predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.