Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Israel X Iran·Politics

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

100%

$15M Vol.

$7M today

$5M Liq.

2

Ends in 6 days

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?
Israel X Iran·Politics

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

81%

December 31

$6M Vol.

$712K today

$308K Liq.

284

Ends in 6 days

Iran military action against Israel on...?
Israel X Iran·Strike

Iran military action against Israel on...?

100%

March 24

$679K Vol.

$298K today

$254K Liq.

750

Ends in 6 days

Military action against Iran ends on...?
Israel X Iran·Politics

Military action against Iran ends on...?

81%

Military action through March 31

$3M Vol.

$297K today

$126K Liq.

13

Ends in 6 days

Israel military action against Lebanon on...?
Israel X Iran·Strike

Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

99%

March 24

$324K Vol.

$92.2K today

$88.8K Liq.

86

Ends in 6 days

Israel military action against Beirut on...?
Israel X Iran·Strike

Israel military action against Beirut on...?

89%

March 24

$115K Vol.

$74.1K today

$33.3K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Hezbollah military action against Israel on...?
Israel X Iran·Strike

Hezbollah military action against Israel on...?

87%

March 26

$91.8K Vol.

$61.9K today

$21.7K Liq.

191

Ends in 6 days

Military action against Iran ends by...?
Israel X Iran·Politics

Military action against Iran ends by...?

15%

March 31

$193K Vol.

$56.9K today

$65.5K Liq.

21

Ends in 6 days

Will another country conduct military action against Iran by...?
Israel X Iran·Iran

Will another country conduct military action against Iran by...?

33%

April 30

$60.2K Vol.

$42.7K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Iran successfully targets shipping on...?
Israel X Iran·Iran

Iran successfully targets shipping on...?

14%

March 29

$89.2K Vol.

$105K Liq.

8

Ends in 6 days

Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?
Israel X Iran·Strike

Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?

100%

March 22

$53.7K Vol.

$55.3K Liq.

101

Ends in 6 days

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?
Israel X Iran·Iran

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

28%

April 30

$145K Vol.

$51.5K Liq.

3

Ends in about 1 month

Houthi strike on Israel by...?
Israel X Iran·Iran

Houthi strike on Israel by...?

11%

March 31

$450K Vol.

$30.6K Liq.

132

Ends in 6 days

How many ships will Iran successfully target by March 31?
Israel X Iran·Iran

How many ships will Iran successfully target by March 31?

91%

<5

$37.9K Vol.

$43.1K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?
Israel X Iran·Politics

Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?

7%

$7.1K Vol.

$36.2K Liq.

2

Ends in about 1 month

What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?
Israel X Iran·Iran

What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?

55%

Ras Laffan Industrial City

$3.6K Vol.

$86.7K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
Israel X Iran·Politics

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

12%

$16.3K Vol.

$14.0K Liq.

1

Ends in 9 months

Houthi military action against Israel by...?
Israel X Iran·Iran

Houthi military action against Israel by...?

42%

April 30

$2.7K Vol.

$23.0K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
Israel X Iran·Politics

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

24%

$55.6K Vol.

$10.0K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Israel false flag attack confirmed?
Israel X Iran·Politics

Israel false flag attack confirmed?

-

$1 Vol.

$141 Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Israel X Iran.

Polymarket currently hosts 133 active markets for Israel X Iran that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $26.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to Yes. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Israel X Iran predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.