Which Parties will be part of next Government of the Netherlands?
$517,003 Vol.
OUTCOME
% CHANCE

D66
$50,684 Vol.
94%

D66
$50,684 Vol.
94%

CDA
$104,851 Vol.
93%

CDA
$104,851 Vol.
93%

VVD
$85,368 Vol.
92%

VVD
$85,368 Vol.
92%

JA21
$23,401 Vol.
35%

JA21
$23,401 Vol.
35%

GL/PvdA
$30,995 Vol.
16%

GL/PvdA
$30,995 Vol.
16%

CU
$20,827 Vol.
7%

CU
$20,827 Vol.
7%

50+
$758 Vol.
7%

50+
$758 Vol.
7%

Volt
$8,653 Vol.
7%

Volt
$8,653 Vol.
7%

BBB
$15,455 Vol.
6%

BBB
$15,455 Vol.
6%

PvdD
$3,879 Vol.
3%

PvdD
$3,879 Vol.
3%

SP
$5,865 Vol.
3%

SP
$5,865 Vol.
3%

Denk
$8,534 Vol.
3%

Denk
$8,534 Vol.
3%

PVV
$53,929 Vol.
3%

PVV
$53,929 Vol.
3%

FvD
$43,239 Vol.
2%

FvD
$43,239 Vol.
2%

SGP
$8,670 Vol.
2%

SGP
$8,670 Vol.
2%

NSC
$51,895 Vol.
1%

NSC
$51,895 Vol.
1%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party is a part of the first Dutch government formed after the 2025 general election scheduled to take place October 29. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister to the ruling government. Parties that merely provide external support (“gedoogsteun”) without holding ministerial positions will not qualify.
This market may resolve once the first government is officially announced and sworn in by the monarch, with ministers appointed under "non-caretaker circumstances."
If no government is formed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if another election is called without a government being formed this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official announcements from the governing coalition; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister to the ruling government. Parties that merely provide external support (“gedoogsteun”) without holding ministerial positions will not qualify.
This market may resolve once the first government is officially announced and sworn in by the monarch, with ministers appointed under "non-caretaker circumstances."
If no government is formed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if another election is called without a government being formed this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official announcements from the governing coalition; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Created At: Sep 4, 2025, 2:59 AM
Volume
$517,003End Date
Oct 29, 2025Created At
Sep 4, 2025, 2:59 AMResolver
0x65070BE91...$517,003 Vol.
Which Parties will be part of next Government of the Netherlands?
OUTCOME
% CHANCE

D66
$50,684 Vol.
94%

CDA
$104,851 Vol.
93%

VVD
$85,368 Vol.
92%

JA21
$23,401 Vol.
35%

GL/PvdA
$30,995 Vol.
16%

CU
$20,827 Vol.
7%

50+
$758 Vol.
7%

Volt
$8,653 Vol.
7%

BBB
$15,455 Vol.
6%

PvdD
$3,879 Vol.
3%

SP
$5,865 Vol.
3%

Denk
$8,534 Vol.
3%

PVV
$53,929 Vol.
3%

FvD
$43,239 Vol.
2%

SGP
$8,670 Vol.
2%

NSC
$51,895 Vol.
1%
About
Volume
$517,003End Date
Oct 29, 2025Created At
Sep 4, 2025, 2:59 AMResolver
0x65070BE91...



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.