Market icon

Which Parties will be part of next Government of the Netherlands?

$517,003 Vol.

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party is a part of the first Dutch government formed after the 2025 general election scheduled to take place October 29. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister to the ruling government. Parties that merely provide external support (“gedoogsteun”) without holding ministerial positions will not qualify.

This market may resolve once the first government is officially announced and sworn in by the monarch, with ministers appointed under "non-caretaker circumstances."

If no government is formed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if another election is called without a government being formed this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official announcements from the governing coalition; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$517,003
End Date
Oct 29, 2025
Created At
Sep 4, 2025, 2:59 AM
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$517,003 Vol.

Market icon

Which Parties will be part of next Government of the Netherlands?

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Market icon

D66

$50,684 Vol.

94%

Market icon

CDA

$104,851 Vol.

93%

Market icon

VVD

$85,368 Vol.

92%

Market icon

JA21

$23,401 Vol.

35%

Market icon

GL/PvdA

$30,995 Vol.

16%

Market icon

CU

$20,827 Vol.

7%

Market icon

50+

$758 Vol.

7%

Market icon

Volt

$8,653 Vol.

7%

Market icon

BBB

$15,455 Vol.

6%

Market icon

PvdD

$3,879 Vol.

3%

Market icon

SP

$5,865 Vol.

3%

Market icon

Denk

$8,534 Vol.

3%

Market icon

PVV

$53,929 Vol.

3%

Market icon

FvD

$43,239 Vol.

2%

Market icon

SGP

$8,670 Vol.

2%

Market icon

NSC

$51,895 Vol.

1%

About

Volume
$517,003
End Date
Oct 29, 2025
Created At
Sep 4, 2025, 2:59 AM