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MI-10 Democratic Primary Winner

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MI-10 Democratic Primary Winner

Eric Chung 70%

Tim Greimel 19%

Christina Hines 11%

Tripp Adams 1.8%

Polymarket

$39,573 Vol.

Eric Chung 70%

Tim Greimel 19%

Christina Hines 11%

Tripp Adams 1.8%

Polymarket

$39,573 Vol.

Eric Chung

$3,096 Vol.

70%

Tim Greimel

$29,412 Vol.

19%

Christina Hines

$2,768 Vol.

11%

Tripp Adams

$2,477 Vol.

2%

Brian Jaye

$1,821 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Eric Chung leads trader consensus at 70% implied probability in the MI-10 Democratic primary due to his superior early fundraising—over $300,000 raised by mid-2025—and accumulating endorsements from national figures like Sen. Andy Kim and the LGBTQ+ Victory Fund, plus a recent March 2026 nod from Mount Clemens City Commissioner Theresa McGarity, signaling local momentum ahead of his packed February district kickoff. Former Pontiac Mayor Tim Greimel holds second at 19% on strong name recognition from state House leadership and labor ties, while ex-prosecutor Christina Hines trails at 11% bolstered by Tripp Adams' August 2025 dropout endorsement and early January ballot qualification. No public polls exist, but the open seat vacated by Rep. John James elevates fundraising and establishment support as key paths to the August 4 nomination in this battleground district.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$39,573
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 25, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Eric Chung leads trader consensus at 70% implied probability in the MI-10 Democratic primary due to his superior early fundraising—over $300,000 raised by mid-2025—and accumulating endorsements from national figures like Sen. Andy Kim and the LGBTQ+ Victory Fund, plus a recent March 2026 nod from Mount Clemens City Commissioner Theresa McGarity, signaling local momentum ahead of his packed February district kickoff. Former Pontiac Mayor Tim Greimel holds second at 19% on strong name recognition from state House leadership and labor ties, while ex-prosecutor Christina Hines trails at 11% bolstered by Tripp Adams' August 2025 dropout endorsement and early January ballot qualification. No public polls exist, but the open seat vacated by Rep. John James elevates fundraising and establishment support as key paths to the August 4 nomination in this battleground district.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$39,573
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 25, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MI-10 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Eric Chung" at 70%, followed by "Tim Greimel" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 70¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 70% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MI-10 Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $39.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MI-10 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MI-10 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Eric Chung" at 70%, meaning the market assigns a 70% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Tim Greimel" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MI-10 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.