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Politics·Primaries

Florida Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Politics·Primaries

Florida Governor Democratic Primary Winner

David Jolly 78%

Jerry Demings 14.4%

Fentrice Driskell 3.9%

Daniella Levine Cava 1.4%

Polymarket

$12,452 Vol.

David Jolly 78%

Jerry Demings 14.4%

Fentrice Driskell 3.9%

Daniella Levine Cava 1.4%

Polymarket

$12,452 Vol.

David Jolly

$4,246 Vol.

78%

Jerry Demings

$696 Vol.

14%

Fentrice Driskell

$561 Vol.

4%

Daniella Levine Cava

$904 Vol.

1%

Jason Pizzo

$646 Vol.

1%

Gwen Graham

$517 Vol.

<1%

Shevrin Jones

$635 Vol.

<1%

Angie Nixon

$4,246 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. If no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.David Jolly's 78% implied probability in the Florida Governor Democratic primary market stems from his dominant fundraising—over $3 million raised by early 2026, including $1 million post recent Democratic special election wins—and early polling leads, such as Emerson's April survey showing him at 21% versus Jerry Demings' 10% among decided voters. These special election upsets in March signaled building Democratic momentum in a GOP-held state, boosting Jolly's profile as a former Republican-turned-Democrat appealing to moderates and independents ahead of the August 18 primary. Demings holds second at 14.4% on name recognition from his Orange County sheriff tenure, while Fentrice Driskell and others lag due to limited visibility and funds, leaving over half of primary voters undecided per recent polls.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.

If no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$12,452
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 25, 2025, 5:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. If no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. If no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.David Jolly's 78% implied probability in the Florida Governor Democratic primary market stems from his dominant fundraising—over $3 million raised by early 2026, including $1 million post recent Democratic special election wins—and early polling leads, such as Emerson's April survey showing him at 21% versus Jerry Demings' 10% among decided voters. These special election upsets in March signaled building Democratic momentum in a GOP-held state, boosting Jolly's profile as a former Republican-turned-Democrat appealing to moderates and independents ahead of the August 18 primary. Demings holds second at 14.4% on name recognition from his Orange County sheriff tenure, while Fentrice Driskell and others lag due to limited visibility and funds, leaving over half of primary voters undecided per recent polls.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.

If no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$12,452
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 25, 2025, 5:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. If no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Will Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?

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Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Florida Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "David Jolly" at 78%, followed by "Jerry Demings" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 78¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Florida Governor Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $12.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Florida Governor Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Florida Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is "David Jolly" at 78%, meaning the market assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jerry Demings" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Florida Governor Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.