Byron Donalds secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary with a strong plurality, backed by President Trump’s early endorsement and a massive fundraising edge exceeding $100 million. Florida’s consistent Republican control of the governorship since 1998, combined with DeSantis’s post-primary support and the state’s partisan lean, underpins trader consensus favoring Donalds despite recent polls showing a near tie around 44-43 percent. David Jolly won the Democratic primary decisively but faces headwinds as a former Republican who switched parties, limited statewide name recognition, and a decision on September 20 to skip general-election debates. Upcoming events like candidate forums and the November 3 vote remain key variables in a race where structural factors outweigh narrow polling margins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFlorida Governor Election Winner
Florida Governor Election Winner
$157,532 Vol.
$157,532 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Byron Donalds (R)
75%
David Jolly (D)
27%
$157,532 Vol.
$157,532 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Byron Donalds (R)
$74,921 Vol.
75%
David Jolly (D)
$82,611 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Byron Donalds secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary with a strong plurality, backed by President Trump’s early endorsement and a massive fundraising edge exceeding $100 million. Florida’s consistent Republican control of the governorship since 1998, combined with DeSantis’s post-primary support and the state’s partisan lean, underpins trader consensus favoring Donalds despite recent polls showing a near tie around 44-43 percent. David Jolly won the Democratic primary decisively but faces headwinds as a former Republican who switched parties, limited statewide name recognition, and a decision on September 20 to skip general-election debates. Upcoming events like candidate forums and the November 3 vote remain key variables in a race where structural factors outweigh narrow polling margins.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Volume
$157,532End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Byron Donalds secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary with a strong plurality, backed by President Trump’s early endorsement and a massive fundraising edge exceeding $100 million. Florida’s consistent Republican control of the governorship since 1998, combined with DeSantis’s post-primary support and the state’s partisan lean, underpins trader consensus favoring Donalds despite recent polls showing a near tie around 44-43 percent. David Jolly won the Democratic primary decisively but faces headwinds as a former Republican who switched parties, limited statewide name recognition, and a decision on September 20 to skip general-election debates. Upcoming events like candidate forums and the November 3 vote remain key variables in a race where structural factors outweigh narrow polling margins.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$157,532End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Byron Donalds secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary with a strong plurality, backed by President Trump’s early endorsement and a massive fundraising edge exceeding $100 million. Florida’s consistent Republican control of the governorship since 1998, combined with DeSantis’s post-primary support and the state’s partisan lean, underpins trader consensus favoring Donalds despite recent polls showing a near tie around 44-43 percent. David Jolly won the Democratic primary decisively but faces headwinds as a former Republican who switched parties, limited statewide name recognition, and a decision on September 20 to skip general-election debates. Upcoming events like candidate forums and the November 3 vote remain key variables in a race where structural factors outweigh narrow polling margins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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