Byron Donalds holds a clear edge in the 2026 Florida gubernatorial race as the Republican nominee following his August primary victory, backed by strong party infrastructure and President Trump's endorsement in a state where Republicans have won every governor's race since 1998. David Jolly, the Democratic nominee and former Republican congressman, secured his party's nod but faces structural headwinds in a solidly red electorate. Recent polling shows a tight contest, with one late-September survey placing the candidates essentially tied, prompting forecasters to shift the race toward toss-up status. Trader pricing at 72.5% for Donalds versus 27.5% for Jolly aligns with Florida's partisan registration advantage and historical GOP performance, though the November 3 outcome remains sensitive to turnout and late-cycle developments such as Jolly's recent decision to forgo general-election debates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFlorida Governor Election Winner
Florida Governor Election Winner
$177,720 Vol.
$177,720 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Byron Donalds (R)
73%
David Jolly (D)
28%
$177,720 Vol.
$177,720 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Byron Donalds (R)
$83,500 Vol.
73%
David Jolly (D)
$94,221 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Byron Donalds holds a clear edge in the 2026 Florida gubernatorial race as the Republican nominee following his August primary victory, backed by strong party infrastructure and President Trump's endorsement in a state where Republicans have won every governor's race since 1998. David Jolly, the Democratic nominee and former Republican congressman, secured his party's nod but faces structural headwinds in a solidly red electorate. Recent polling shows a tight contest, with one late-September survey placing the candidates essentially tied, prompting forecasters to shift the race toward toss-up status. Trader pricing at 72.5% for Donalds versus 27.5% for Jolly aligns with Florida's partisan registration advantage and historical GOP performance, though the November 3 outcome remains sensitive to turnout and late-cycle developments such as Jolly's recent decision to forgo general-election debates.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Volume
$177,720End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Byron Donalds holds a clear edge in the 2026 Florida gubernatorial race as the Republican nominee following his August primary victory, backed by strong party infrastructure and President Trump's endorsement in a state where Republicans have won every governor's race since 1998. David Jolly, the Democratic nominee and former Republican congressman, secured his party's nod but faces structural headwinds in a solidly red electorate. Recent polling shows a tight contest, with one late-September survey placing the candidates essentially tied, prompting forecasters to shift the race toward toss-up status. Trader pricing at 72.5% for Donalds versus 27.5% for Jolly aligns with Florida's partisan registration advantage and historical GOP performance, though the November 3 outcome remains sensitive to turnout and late-cycle developments such as Jolly's recent decision to forgo general-election debates.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$177,720End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...Byron Donalds holds a clear edge in the 2026 Florida gubernatorial race as the Republican nominee following his August primary victory, backed by strong party infrastructure and President Trump's endorsement in a state where Republicans have won every governor's race since 1998. David Jolly, the Democratic nominee and former Republican congressman, secured his party's nod but faces structural headwinds in a solidly red electorate. Recent polling shows a tight contest, with one late-September survey placing the candidates essentially tied, prompting forecasters to shift the race toward toss-up status. Trader pricing at 72.5% for Donalds versus 27.5% for Jolly aligns with Florida's partisan registration advantage and historical GOP performance, though the November 3 outcome remains sensitive to turnout and late-cycle developments such as Jolly's recent decision to forgo general-election debates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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