Byron Donalds holds the leading position in the Florida governor race according to trader consensus, reflecting the state's sustained Republican advantage in recent cycles and his decisive August primary win backed by President Trump. Recent September polling from St. Pete Polls and other surveys shows a near tie or slight Donalds edge around 44% to 43%, driven by voter concerns over cost of living, property insurance rates, and affordability that both candidates are addressing. Donalds benefits from substantial fundraising leads and alignment with the state's conservative electorate, while Jolly, the Democratic nominee and former Republican congressman, draws support from independents and focuses on similar economic pressures. With the November election weeks away, these structural and resource factors sustain the current market positioning despite the competitive polling environment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFlorida Governor Election Winner
$157,183 Vol.
$157,183 Vol.

Byron Donalds (R)
75%

David Jolly (D)
27%
$157,183 Vol.
$157,183 Vol.

Byron Donalds (R)
75%

David Jolly (D)
27%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Byron Donalds holds the leading position in the Florida governor race according to trader consensus, reflecting the state's sustained Republican advantage in recent cycles and his decisive August primary win backed by President Trump. Recent September polling from St. Pete Polls and other surveys shows a near tie or slight Donalds edge around 44% to 43%, driven by voter concerns over cost of living, property insurance rates, and affordability that both candidates are addressing. Donalds benefits from substantial fundraising leads and alignment with the state's conservative electorate, while Jolly, the Democratic nominee and former Republican congressman, draws support from independents and focuses on similar economic pressures. With the November election weeks away, these structural and resource factors sustain the current market positioning despite the competitive polling environment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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