Florida's 2026 gubernatorial contest features an open seat after Ron DeSantis reaches his term limit, positioning Republicans as the strong favorite in a state where they hold all statewide offices, legislative supermajorities, and consistent general-election advantages. Recent primary polling shows Congressman Byron Donalds consolidating early GOP support at 44-48 percent, well ahead of other declared candidates, while hypothetical November matchups give Republican frontrunners 8- to 9-point leads over potential Democratic opponents. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting Florida's rightward shift in recent cycles and limited Democratic inroads among key voter groups. No major late-breaking events have altered this baseline positioning ahead of the August primary and November general.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$19,830 交易量
$19,830 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
80%
民主党
21%
$19,830 交易量
$19,830 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$7,512 交易量
80%
民主党
$12,318 交易量
21%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's 2026 gubernatorial contest features an open seat after Ron DeSantis reaches his term limit, positioning Republicans as the strong favorite in a state where they hold all statewide offices, legislative supermajorities, and consistent general-election advantages. Recent primary polling shows Congressman Byron Donalds consolidating early GOP support at 44-48 percent, well ahead of other declared candidates, while hypothetical November matchups give Republican frontrunners 8- to 9-point leads over potential Democratic opponents. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting Florida's rightward shift in recent cycles and limited Democratic inroads among key voter groups. No major late-breaking events have altered this baseline positioning ahead of the August primary and November general.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
交易量
$19,830结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's 2026 gubernatorial contest features an open seat after Ron DeSantis reaches his term limit, positioning Republicans as the strong favorite in a state where they hold all statewide offices, legislative supermajorities, and consistent general-election advantages. Recent primary polling shows Congressman Byron Donalds consolidating early GOP support at 44-48 percent, well ahead of other declared candidates, while hypothetical November matchups give Republican frontrunners 8- to 9-point leads over potential Democratic opponents. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting Florida's rightward shift in recent cycles and limited Democratic inroads among key voter groups. No major late-breaking events have altered this baseline positioning ahead of the August primary and November general.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$19,830结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 2026 gubernatorial contest features an open seat after Ron DeSantis reaches his term limit, positioning Republicans as the strong favorite in a state where they hold all statewide offices, legislative supermajorities, and consistent general-election advantages. Recent primary polling shows Congressman Byron Donalds consolidating early GOP support at 44-48 percent, well ahead of other declared candidates, while hypothetical November matchups give Republican frontrunners 8- to 9-point leads over potential Democratic opponents. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting Florida's rightward shift in recent cycles and limited Democratic inroads among key voter groups. No major late-breaking events have altered this baseline positioning ahead of the August primary and November general.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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