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Politics·Global Elections

La Paz Governor Election Winner (Bolivia)

Market icon
Politics·Global Elections

La Paz Governor Election Winner (Bolivia)

Richard Andrés Gómez 7.1%

René Yahuasi Calamani 4.2%

Augusto Saturnino Oblitas 1.3%

Orlando Callisaya <1%

Polymarket

$32,023 Vol.

Richard Andrés Gómez 7.1%

René Yahuasi Calamani 4.2%

Augusto Saturnino Oblitas 1.3%

Orlando Callisaya <1%

Polymarket

$32,023 Vol.

Richard Andrés Gómez

$1,435 Vol.

7%

René Yahuasi Calamani

$5,542 Vol.

18%

Augusto Saturnino Oblitas

$1,462 Vol.

1%

Orlando Callisaya

$1,608 Vol.

<1%

Germán Riveros

$1,426 Vol.

<1%

Rafael Quispe Flores

$1,486 Vol.

<1%

Fidel Chura

$1,590 Vol.

<1%

Santos Quispe Quispe

$1,351 Vol.

<1%

Demetrio Villca

$1,630 Vol.

<1%

Ingvar Ellefsen Dotzauer

$1,837 Vol.

<1%

Clemente Gutiérrez

$0 Vol.

<1%

Leopoldo Richar Chui

$0 Vol.

<1%

Gualberto Cusi

$1,266 Vol.

<1%

Felix Patzi

$2,036 Vol.

<1%

Luis Antonio Revilla

$9,355 Vol.

68%

The La Paz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).**Luis Antonio Revilla of Patria-SOL (centre-right) leads trader consensus at 67% implied probability as the declared winner of Bolivia's La Paz governorship following the March 22 subnational elections, where he topped first-round results at around 20% amid a fragmented field lacking an outright majority.** The Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) ruled no runoff needed after René Yahuasi Calamani's Nueva Generación Patriótica (NGP, liberal) involuntarily withdrew him on April 1, prompting Yahuasi's appeal and planned protests that sustain his 18% odds. Pre-election polls showed Revilla's edge in La Paz city and El Alto, bolstered by alliances with President Rodrigo Paz, while lower probabilities for Fidel Chura and others reflect their distant first-round finishes and the resolved runoff path, pending appeal outcomes.

The La Paz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Volume
$32,023
End Date
Mar 22, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 20, 2026, 11:14 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The La Paz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
The La Paz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).**Luis Antonio Revilla of Patria-SOL (centre-right) leads trader consensus at 67% implied probability as the declared winner of Bolivia's La Paz governorship following the March 22 subnational elections, where he topped first-round results at around 20% amid a fragmented field lacking an outright majority.** The Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) ruled no runoff needed after René Yahuasi Calamani's Nueva Generación Patriótica (NGP, liberal) involuntarily withdrew him on April 1, prompting Yahuasi's appeal and planned protests that sustain his 18% odds. Pre-election polls showed Revilla's edge in La Paz city and El Alto, bolstered by alliances with President Rodrigo Paz, while lower probabilities for Fidel Chura and others reflect their distant first-round finishes and the resolved runoff path, pending appeal outcomes.

The La Paz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Volume
$32,023
End Date
Mar 22, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 20, 2026, 11:14 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The La Paz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"La Paz Governor Election Winner (Bolivia)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Luis Antonio Revilla" at 68%, followed by "René Yahuasi Calamani" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 68¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 68% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "La Paz Governor Election Winner (Bolivia)" has generated $32K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "La Paz Governor Election Winner (Bolivia)," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "La Paz Governor Election Winner (Bolivia)" is "Luis Antonio Revilla" at 68%, meaning the market assigns a 68% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "René Yahuasi Calamani" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "La Paz Governor Election Winner (Bolivia)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.