Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's current five-year term, secured in the 2023 election, extends until the next scheduled presidential vote no later than May 2028, with no snap election or no-confidence mechanisms in play under the constitution. Trader consensus at 83.5% "No" reflects the ruling Justice and Development Party's February 2026 dismissal of opposition calls for early elections and Erdoğan's firm adherence to the 2028 timeline, alongside his active diplomatic engagements, including recent statements on regional conflicts. Unsubstantiated health rumors from early 2026 have not materialized into official impairments, while pledges for 2026 economic and social reforms signal continuity. Absent a major scandal, economic collapse, or parliamentary shift, structural barriers favor his tenure through year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedErdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
$322,639 Vol.
$322,639 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Earn 4%
$322,639 Vol.
$322,639 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Earn 4%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's current five-year term, secured in the 2023 election, extends until the next scheduled presidential vote no later than May 2028, with no snap election or no-confidence mechanisms in play under the constitution. Trader consensus at 83.5% "No" reflects the ruling Justice and Development Party's February 2026 dismissal of opposition calls for early elections and Erdoğan's firm adherence to the 2028 timeline, alongside his active diplomatic engagements, including recent statements on regional conflicts. Unsubstantiated health rumors from early 2026 have not materialized into official impairments, while pledges for 2026 economic and social reforms signal continuity. Absent a major scandal, economic collapse, or parliamentary shift, structural barriers favor his tenure through year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Volume
$322,639End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's current five-year term, secured in the 2023 election, extends until the next scheduled presidential vote no later than May 2028, with no snap election or no-confidence mechanisms in play under the constitution. Trader consensus at 83.5% "No" reflects the ruling Justice and Development Party's February 2026 dismissal of opposition calls for early elections and Erdoğan's firm adherence to the 2028 timeline, alongside his active diplomatic engagements, including recent statements on regional conflicts. Unsubstantiated health rumors from early 2026 have not materialized into official impairments, while pledges for 2026 economic and social reforms signal continuity. Absent a major scandal, economic collapse, or parliamentary shift, structural barriers favor his tenure through year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$322,639End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's current five-year term, secured in the 2023 election, extends until the next scheduled presidential vote no later than May 2028, with no snap election or no-confidence mechanisms in play under the constitution. Trader consensus at 83.5% "No" reflects the ruling Justice and Development Party's February 2026 dismissal of opposition calls for early elections and Erdoğan's firm adherence to the 2028 timeline, alongside his active diplomatic engagements, including recent statements on regional conflicts. Unsubstantiated health rumors from early 2026 have not materialized into official impairments, while pledges for 2026 economic and social reforms signal continuity. Absent a major scandal, economic collapse, or parliamentary shift, structural barriers favor his tenure through year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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