Hungarian parliamentary election results on April 12 drove trader consensus to near-certainty on Viktor Orbán exiting as prime minister by year-end, as opposition leader Péter Magyar's Tisza party secured a supermajority in the 199-seat parliament amid record turnout. Orbán conceded defeat after 16 years in power, ending Fidesz's dominance and paving the way for a swift government transition under Hungary's constitutional process. Pre-election polls had signaled a major shift, fueled by anti-corruption sentiment and EU alignment pledges from Magyar. While formal inauguration awaits parliamentary session, scenarios like successful legal challenges to results or health emergencies could theoretically delay his departure, though such disruptions remain highly improbable given the decisive margin.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedViktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?
$145,709 Vol.
$145,709 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$145,709 Vol.
$145,709 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Viktor Orbán ceases to be Prime Minister of Hungary for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Viktor Orbán's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Viktor Orbán and the government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Hungarian parliamentary election results on April 12 drove trader consensus to near-certainty on Viktor Orbán exiting as prime minister by year-end, as opposition leader Péter Magyar's Tisza party secured a supermajority in the 199-seat parliament amid record turnout. Orbán conceded defeat after 16 years in power, ending Fidesz's dominance and paving the way for a swift government transition under Hungary's constitutional process. Pre-election polls had signaled a major shift, fueled by anti-corruption sentiment and EU alignment pledges from Magyar. While formal inauguration awaits parliamentary session, scenarios like successful legal challenges to results or health emergencies could theoretically delay his departure, though such disruptions remain highly improbable given the decisive margin.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Viktor Orbán ceases to be Prime Minister of Hungary for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Viktor Orbán's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Viktor Orbán and the government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Viktor Orbán's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Viktor Orbán and the government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 5, 2026, 5:56 PM ET
Volume
$145,709End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 5, 2026, 5:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Viktor Orbán ceases to be Prime Minister of Hungary for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Viktor Orbán's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Viktor Orbán and the government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Hungarian parliamentary election results on April 12 drove trader consensus to near-certainty on Viktor Orbán exiting as prime minister by year-end, as opposition leader Péter Magyar's Tisza party secured a supermajority in the 199-seat parliament amid record turnout. Orbán conceded defeat after 16 years in power, ending Fidesz's dominance and paving the way for a swift government transition under Hungary's constitutional process. Pre-election polls had signaled a major shift, fueled by anti-corruption sentiment and EU alignment pledges from Magyar. While formal inauguration awaits parliamentary session, scenarios like successful legal challenges to results or health emergencies could theoretically delay his departure, though such disruptions remain highly improbable given the decisive margin.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Viktor Orbán ceases to be Prime Minister of Hungary for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Viktor Orbán's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Viktor Orbán and the government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Viktor Orbán's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Viktor Orbán and the government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$145,709End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 5, 2026, 5:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Hungarian parliamentary election results on April 12 drove trader consensus to near-certainty on Viktor Orbán exiting as prime minister by year-end, as opposition leader Péter Magyar's Tisza party secured a supermajority in the 199-seat parliament amid record turnout. Orbán conceded defeat after 16 years in power, ending Fidesz's dominance and paving the way for a swift government transition under Hungary's constitutional process. Pre-election polls had signaled a major shift, fueled by anti-corruption sentiment and EU alignment pledges from Magyar. While formal inauguration awaits parliamentary session, scenarios like successful legal challenges to results or health emergencies could theoretically delay his departure, though such disruptions remain highly improbable given the decisive margin.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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