Trader consensus on Polymarket favors DISY at 55% implied probability to secure the most seats in Cyprus' House of Representatives election on May 24, reflecting its slim leads in March polls amid high undecided voters (25-28%). Recent surveys, including Rai Consultants (March 10-19: DISY 14.6%, AKEL 14.2%) and Noverna (February 26-March 11: DISY 16.1%, AKEL 15.9%), show the center-right DISY edging the left-wing AKEL in a fragmented field where ELAM polls third at 9-12% and newcomers like ALMA gain traction. Economic pressures and regional tensions bolster nationalists but fragment opposition votes under proportional representation, positioning DISY for plurality despite mobilization challenges for both frontrunners. AKEL trails at 39% as traders weigh DISY's historical edge and internal surveys suggesting over 24% support.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedCyprus House of Representatives Election Winner
Cyprus House of Representatives Election Winner
DISY 55%
AKEL 39%
ELAM 5.3%
DIPA 5.3%
DISY
55%
AKEL
39%
ELAM
5%
DIPA
5%
EDEK
5%
DIKO
5%
KOSP
5%
VOLT
5%
DNM (DEK)
1%
DISY 55%
AKEL 39%
ELAM 5.3%
DIPA 5.3%
DISY
55%
AKEL
39%
ELAM
5%
DIPA
5%
EDEK
5%
DIKO
5%
KOSP
5%
VOLT
5%
DNM (DEK)
1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.
If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).
Market Opened: Dec 12, 2025, 6:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.
If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors DISY at 55% implied probability to secure the most seats in Cyprus' House of Representatives election on May 24, reflecting its slim leads in March polls amid high undecided voters (25-28%). Recent surveys, including Rai Consultants (March 10-19: DISY 14.6%, AKEL 14.2%) and Noverna (February 26-March 11: DISY 16.1%, AKEL 15.9%), show the center-right DISY edging the left-wing AKEL in a fragmented field where ELAM polls third at 9-12% and newcomers like ALMA gain traction. Economic pressures and regional tensions bolster nationalists but fragment opposition votes under proportional representation, positioning DISY for plurality despite mobilization challenges for both frontrunners. AKEL trails at 39% as traders weigh DISY's historical edge and internal surveys suggesting over 24% support.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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