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Fed
Fed decision in January?
$53m Vol.
$4m today
$4m Liq.
1,369
Ends in about 1 month
86%
No change
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
$80m Vol.
$2m today
$2m Liq.
245
Ends in about 1 year
62%
Kevin Hassett
Who will Trump announce as next Fed Chair in 2025?
$11m Vol.
$908k today
$293k Liq.
87
Ends in 8 days
97%
No announcement by December 31
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$1m Vol.
$747k Liq.
18
23%
3 (75 bps)
Fed decision in March?
$616k Vol.
$285k Liq.
418
Ends in 3 months
54%
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?
$27.1k Liq.
5
<1%
Who will Trump announce as Lisa Cook replacement?
$624k Vol.
$55.0k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 days
100%
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
$12m Vol.
$117k Liq.
420
Fed rate cut by...?
$7.6k Vol.
$85.7k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
91%
June Meeting
Fed decisions (Dec-Mar)
$250k Vol.
$79.7k Liq.
43%
Cut–Pause–Pause
Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
$518k Vol.
$48.8k Liq.
15
85%
Cut–Cut–Pause
Fed decision in April?
$461k Vol.
$286k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
63%
Fed abolished in 2025?
$409k Vol.
$8.6k Liq.
Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?
$336k Vol.
$35.2k Liq.
50
1%
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
$10.6k Vol.
$11.6k Liq.
21%
Fed rate hike in 2026?
$4.9k Vol.
$26.1k Liq.
Ends in 12 months
11%
Trump announces Fed Chair nominee by...?
$10.1k Vol.
$10.6k Liq.
98%
March 31, 2026
How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
$1.2k Vol.
$4.6k Liq.
35%
2
Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)
$1.4k Vol.
$109k Liq.
Pause–Pause–Cut
Jerome Powell in jail in 2025
$21.8k Vol.
$8.0k Liq.
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