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Fed
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
$75m Vol.
$2m today
$2m Liq.
237
Ends in about 1 year
56%
Kevin Hassett
Fed decision in January?
$45m Vol.
$3m Liq.
1,369
Ends in about 1 month
79%
No change
Who will Trump announce as next Fed Chair in 2025?
$10m Vol.
$62.6k today
$250k Liq.
87
Ends in 10 days
96%
No announcement by December 31
Who will Trump announce as Lisa Cook replacement?
$568k Vol.
$56.9k today
$59.4k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 days
99%
Fed decision in March?
$593k Vol.
$293k Liq.
418
Ends in 3 months
52%
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?
$1m Vol.
$46.6k Liq.
5
1%
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$733k Liq.
14
22%
3 (75 bps)
Fed decision in April?
$456k Vol.
$292k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
64%
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
$12m Vol.
$125k Liq.
420
<1%
Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
$514k Vol.
$54.1k Liq.
15
78%
Cut–Cut–Pause
Fed rate cut by...?
$3.7k Vol.
$90.7k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
95%
June Meeting
Trump announces Fed Chair nominee by...?
$8.1k Vol.
$6.7k Liq.
98%
March 31, 2026
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by...?
$18.8k Liq.
1,094
20%
February 28, 2026
Fed decisions (Dec-Mar)
$241k Vol.
$68.0k Liq.
43%
Cut–Pause–Pause
Fed Decision in June?
$1.4k Vol.
$138k Liq.
44%
Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)
$752 Vol.
$107k Liq.
Pause–Cut–Pause
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
$10.3k Vol.
$10.8k Liq.
Lisa Cook federally charged in 2025?
$37.0k Vol.
$3.8k Liq.
How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
$1.0k Vol.
$4.2k Liq.
36%
2
Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?
$325k Vol.
$50.4k Liq.
50
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