Fed Markets | Polymarket

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 Fed polymarkets

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

56%

Kevin Hassett

$75m Vol.

$2m today

$2m Liq.

237

Ends in about 1 year

Fed decision in January?

Fed decision in January?

79%

No change

$45m Vol.

$2m today

$3m Liq.

1,369

Ends in about 1 month

Who will Trump announce as next Fed Chair in 2025?

Who will Trump announce as next Fed Chair in 2025?

96%

No announcement by December 31

$10m Vol.

$62.6k today

$250k Liq.

87

Ends in 10 days

Who will Trump announce as Lisa Cook replacement?

Who will Trump announce as Lisa Cook replacement?

99%

No announcement by December 31

$568k Vol.

$56.9k today

$59.4k Liq.

1

Ends in 9 days

Fed decision in March?

Fed decision in March?

52%

No change

$593k Vol.

$293k Liq.

418

Ends in 3 months

Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?

Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?

1%

$1m Vol.

$46.6k Liq.

5

Ends in 10 days

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

22%

3 (75 bps)

$1m Vol.

$733k Liq.

14

Ends in about 1 year

Fed decision in April?

Fed decision in April?

64%

No change

$456k Vol.

$292k Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?

<1%

$12m Vol.

$125k Liq.

420

Ends in 10 days

Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)

Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)

78%

Cut–Cut–Pause

$514k Vol.

$54.1k Liq.

15

Ends in about 1 month

Fed rate cut by...?

Fed rate cut by...?

95%

June Meeting

$3.7k Vol.

$90.7k Liq.

1

Ends in 6 months

Trump announces Fed Chair nominee by...?

Trump announces Fed Chair nominee by...?

98%

March 31, 2026

$8.1k Vol.

$6.7k Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by...?

Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by...?

20%

February 28, 2026

$10m Vol.

$18.8k Liq.

1,094

Ends in 9 days

Fed decisions (Dec-Mar)

Fed decisions (Dec-Mar)

43%

Cut–Pause–Pause

$241k Vol.

$68.0k Liq.

1

Ends in 3 months

Fed Decision in June?

Fed Decision in June?

44%

No change

$1.4k Vol.

$138k Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

22%

Pause–Cut–Pause

$752 Vol.

$107k Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

22%

$10.3k Vol.

$10.8k Liq.

Ends in about 1 year

Lisa Cook federally charged in 2025?

Lisa Cook federally charged in 2025?

1%

$37.0k Vol.

$3.8k Liq.

1

Ends in 9 days

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

36%

2

$1.0k Vol.

$4.2k Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?

Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?

1%

$325k Vol.

$50.4k Liq.

50

Ends in 10 days