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 Fed polymarkets

Fed decision in December?

Fed

Politics

Fed decision in December?

93%

25 bps decrease

$251m Vol.

$12m today

$11m Liq.

1,893

Ends in 5 days

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Fed

Politics

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

75%

Kevin Hassett

$16m Vol.

$2m today

$549k Liq.

93

Ends in about 1 year

Fed decision in January?

Fed

Politics

Fed decision in January?

69%

No change

$2m Vol.

$189k today

$361k Liq.

1,369

Ends in about 2 months

How many Fed rate cuts in 2025?

Fed

Business

How many Fed rate cuts in 2025?

92%

3 (75 bps)

$26m Vol.

$150k today

$1m Liq.

83

Ends in 26 days

Who will Trump announce as next Fed Chair in 2025?

Fed

Trump

Who will Trump announce as next Fed Chair in 2025?

84%

No announcement by December 31

$7m Vol.

$242k Liq.

70

Ends in 26 days

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Fed

Business

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

24%

3 (75 bps)

$644k Vol.

$560k Liq.

9

Ends in about 1 year

Fed rate hike in 2025?

Fed

Business

Fed rate hike in 2025?

1%

$962k Vol.

$66.2k Liq.

29

Ends in 5 days

Fed decisions (Dec-Mar)

Fed

Finance

Fed decisions (Dec-Mar)

42%

Cut–Pause–Pause

$132k Vol.

$123k Liq.

1

Ends in 3 months

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?

Fed

Politics

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?

2%

$11m Vol.

$159k Liq.

420

Ends in 26 days

Fed decisions (Sep-Dec)

Fed

Parlay

Fed decisions (Sep-Dec)

92%

Cut–Cut–Cut

$1m Vol.

$62.9k Liq.

15

Ends in 5 days

Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)

Fed

Finance

Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)

73%

Cut–Cut–Pause

$445k Vol.

$67.4k Liq.

15

Ends in about 2 months

Fed Derivative: Jan "25bps cut" Odds on December 10?

Fed

Fed Rates

Fed Derivative: Jan "25bps cut" Odds on December 10?

70%

>20%

$6.6k Vol.

$5.6k Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Fed decision in March?

Fed

Politics

Fed decision in March?

54%

No change

$59.5k Vol.

$254k Liq.

418

Ends in 3 months

What will Powell say during December Press Conference?

Fed

Politics

What will Powell say during December Press Conference?

98%

Good afternoon

$123k Vol.

$64.9k Liq.

22

Ends in 5 days

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

Fed

Politics

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

40%

3

$76.6k Vol.

$22.4k Liq.

1

Ends in 5 days

Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?

Fed

Business

Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?

1%

$1m Vol.

$34.1k Liq.

5

Ends in 26 days

Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bps cut" favored on December 9?

Fed

Fed Rates

Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bps cut" favored on December 9?

1%

No Change

$38.8k Vol.

$27.1k Liq.

Ends in 4 days

'No change' or '25 bps cut' favored for Fed decision in January on December 10?

Fed

Politics

'No change' or '25 bps cut' favored for Fed decision in January on December 10?

84%

No change

$4.4k Vol.

$5.0k Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Fed decision & dissent combo in December?

Fed

Politics

Fed decision & dissent combo in December?

65%

25bp cut, Dissents: >2

$20.0k Vol.

$23.8k Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Fed Derivative: "No Change" flips "25bps cut" by December 9?

Fed

Fed Rates

Fed Derivative: "No Change" flips "25bps cut" by December 9?

1%

$27.4k Vol.

$27.5k Liq.

1

Ends in 4 days