Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

2%

May 14

$2M Vol.

$65.0K today

$138K Liq.

36

Ends in about 2 months

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

84%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$268K Vol.

$21.0K Liq.

10

Ends in 7 months

Will the next elected US president be a woman?

Will the next elected US president be a woman?

20%

$10.1K Vol.

$38.8K Liq.

2

Ends in over 2 years

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

18%

JD Vance

$453M Vol.

$4M today

$31M Liq.

771

Ends in over 2 years

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

9%

December 31

$4M Vol.

$148K today

$246K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

57%

Democratic

$2M Vol.

$746K Liq.

60

Ends in over 2 years

US x Russia military clash by...?

US x Russia military clash by...?

11%

December 31, 2026

$583K Vol.

$21.1K Liq.

14

Ends in 9 months

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

77%

June 30

$6M Vol.

$771K today

$236K Liq.

120

Ends in 3 months

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

48%

Democrats Sweep

$4M Vol.

$129K today

$491K Liq.

133

Ends in 7 months

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

52%

Republican Party

$1M Vol.

$308K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

2026 U.S. House election: Republicans flip the Democrats by...?

2026 U.S. House election: Republicans flip the Democrats by...?

1%

March 31

$54.0K Vol.

$7.3K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

36%

Below 190

$12.6K Vol.

$85.2K Liq.

1

Ends in 7 months

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

26%

≤47

$2M Vol.

$186K Liq.

6

ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?

ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?

83%

Not Extended & Democratic Party

$387K Vol.

$19.6K Liq.

1

Ends in 7 months

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

2%

$56.9K Vol.

$14.0K Liq.

4

Ends in 7 months

Republican 2026 House odds hit___ by March 31?

Republican 2026 House odds hit___ by March 31?

2%

↓ 10%

$128K Vol.

$52.7K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

42%

December 31, 2026

$60.1K Vol.

$10.8K Liq.

2

Ends in 9 months

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

19%

Democrats 6-8%

$868 Vol.

$27.0K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Blue wave in 2026?

Blue wave in 2026?

76%

$26.9K Vol.

$8.2K Liq.

4

Ends in 8 months

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

23%

125-130m

$182 Vol.

$25.6K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like US Politics.

Polymarket currently hosts 420 active markets for US Politics that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $475.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Blue wave in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Presidential Election Winner 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Presidential Election Winner 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 18% chance to JD Vance. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on US Politics predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.