Brian Fitzpatrick maintains a clear edge in trader consensus for the Pennsylvania 1st Congressional District House seat due to his status as a five-term incumbent in a swing district that leans slightly Republican based on recent presidential results. Bob Harvie, the Democratic nominee and Bucks County commissioner who won his May 2026 primary, has narrowed the gap in some August and September polling that shows a statistical tie. Key factors sustaining Fitzpatrick’s position include a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $6 million raised versus roughly $2 million for Harvie, along with endorsements from labor groups. The race centers on local concerns such as data center development, affordability, and corporate influence, with the November 3 general election still weeks away and subject to further shifts in voter sentiment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$12,171 Vol.
$12,171 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Brian Fitzpatrick (R)
62%
Bob Harvie (D)
38%
$12,171 Vol.
$12,171 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Brian Fitzpatrick (R)
$7,557 Vol.
62%
Bob Harvie (D)
$4,614 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Brian Fitzpatrick maintains a clear edge in trader consensus for the Pennsylvania 1st Congressional District House seat due to his status as a five-term incumbent in a swing district that leans slightly Republican based on recent presidential results. Bob Harvie, the Democratic nominee and Bucks County commissioner who won his May 2026 primary, has narrowed the gap in some August and September polling that shows a statistical tie. Key factors sustaining Fitzpatrick’s position include a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $6 million raised versus roughly $2 million for Harvie, along with endorsements from labor groups. The race centers on local concerns such as data center development, affordability, and corporate influence, with the November 3 general election still weeks away and subject to further shifts in voter sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
Volume
$12,171End Date
Nov 5, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Brian Fitzpatrick maintains a clear edge in trader consensus for the Pennsylvania 1st Congressional District House seat due to his status as a five-term incumbent in a swing district that leans slightly Republican based on recent presidential results. Bob Harvie, the Democratic nominee and Bucks County commissioner who won his May 2026 primary, has narrowed the gap in some August and September polling that shows a statistical tie. Key factors sustaining Fitzpatrick’s position include a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $6 million raised versus roughly $2 million for Harvie, along with endorsements from labor groups. The race centers on local concerns such as data center development, affordability, and corporate influence, with the November 3 general election still weeks away and subject to further shifts in voter sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$12,171End Date
Nov 5, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...Brian Fitzpatrick maintains a clear edge in trader consensus for the Pennsylvania 1st Congressional District House seat due to his status as a five-term incumbent in a swing district that leans slightly Republican based on recent presidential results. Bob Harvie, the Democratic nominee and Bucks County commissioner who won his May 2026 primary, has narrowed the gap in some August and September polling that shows a statistical tie. Key factors sustaining Fitzpatrick’s position include a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $6 million raised versus roughly $2 million for Harvie, along with endorsements from labor groups. The race centers on local concerns such as data center development, affordability, and corporate influence, with the November 3 general election still weeks away and subject to further shifts in voter sentiment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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