Skip to main content

Taoiseach predictions & odds

·
Dublin-Central By-Election Winner

Dublin-Central By-Election Winner

73%

Daniel Ennis

$1M Vol.

$119K Liq.

11

Ends in 8 months

Galway-West By-Election Winner?

Galway-West By-Election Winner?

42%

Noel Thomas

$47.3K Vol.

$41.5K Liq.

1

Ends in 11 months

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

44%

Starmer - UK PM

$361K Vol.

$247K Liq.

4

Ends in 8 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

96%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$4.6K Liq.

125

Ends in about 1 month

What will Trump post this week? (May 11 - May 17)

What will Trump post this week? (May 11 - May 17)

42%

Baby

$11.0K Vol.

$701 Liq.

Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?

Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?

17%

$18.0K Vol.

$11.4K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

What will Trump post this week? (May 24)

What will Trump post this week? (May 24)

86%

Big / Bigger / Biggest

$1.7K Vol.

$7.1K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

São Paulo Governor Election Winner

São Paulo Governor Election Winner

82%

Tarcísio de Freitas

$26.3K Vol.

$80.4K Liq.

3

Ends in 5 months

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

2%

Nuclear

$15M Vol.

$3M today

$549K Liq.

2,451

What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit in May 2026?

What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit in May 2026?

74%

↑ $640

$54.6K Vol.

$24.4K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Zelenskyy # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

40%

80-99

$7.3K Vol.

$5.6K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

What price will Chainlink hit in May?

What price will Chainlink hit in May?

30%

↑ 12

$2.1K Vol.

$13.3K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Zelenskyy # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?

46%

80-99

$1.4K Vol.

$4.4K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Macron out by...?

Macron out by...?

1%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$41.7K Liq.

94

Ends in about 1 month

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

31%

Lula da Silva <5%

$232K Vol.

$65.2K Liq.

10

Ends in 5 months

What price will Ethena hit in May?

What price will Ethena hit in May?

29%

↓ 0.08

$2.4K Vol.

$7.3K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Zelenskyy # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

66%

80-99

$20.0K Vol.

$11.8K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

European Rugby Champions Cup: Leinster vs Union Bordeaux Begles

European Rugby Champions Cup: Leinster vs Union Bordeaux Begles

47%

Leinster

$67 Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

11%

$349K Vol.

$47.2K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

91%

Mr. Speaker 10+ times

$34.6K Vol.

$6.7K Liq.

17

Ends in 2 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Taoiseach.

Polymarket currently hosts 100 active markets for Taoiseach that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Dublin-Central By-Election Winner”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $21.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping? ,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping? ,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to Peng. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Taoiseach predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.