Seán Kyne holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the Galway West by-election due to expectations of strong transfers under Ireland’s single transferable vote system from eliminated Fianna Fáil, Labour, and centre-right candidates. The May 22 poll, called after Catherine Connolly’s vacancy, produced a tight first-preference race where Independent Ireland’s Noel Thomas edged ahead, yet Kyne’s established local profile as a former TD and current senator provides a broader path to reaching the quota. Counting continues with subsequent distributions likely to widen his advantage. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include unusually skewed later preferences or significant errors emerging during full tallies.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트션 카인 98.8%
노엘 토마스 1.1%
쉐일라 개러티 <1%
나이얼 머피 <1%
$245,153 거래량
$245,153 거래량
2027.03.31
쉐일라 개러티
<1%
션 카인
99%
나이얼 머피
<1%
미데 니크 프윙랴이흐
<1%
Orla Nugent
<1%
헬렌 오그부
<1%
덴먼 루크
<1%
노엘 토마스
1%
토마스 웰비
<1%
마이크 커버드
<1%
마크 로한
<1%
션 카인 98.8%
노엘 토마스 1.1%
쉐일라 개러티 <1%
나이얼 머피 <1%
$245,153 거래량
$245,153 거래량
2027.03.31
쉐일라 개러티
$61,491 거래량
<1%
션 카인
$25,509 거래량
99%
나이얼 머피
$22,154 거래량
<1%
미데 니크 프윙랴이흐
$7,406 거래량
<1%
Orla Nugent
$28,241 거래량
<1%
헬렌 오그부
$30,487 거래량
<1%
덴먼 루크
$15,792 거래량
<1%
노엘 토마스
$25,231 거래량
1%
토마스 웰비
$14,197 거래량
<1%
마이크 커버드
$8,051 거래량
<1%
마크 로한
$7,613 거래량
<1%
A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).Seán Kyne holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the Galway West by-election due to expectations of strong transfers under Ireland’s single transferable vote system from eliminated Fianna Fáil, Labour, and centre-right candidates. The May 22 poll, called after Catherine Connolly’s vacancy, produced a tight first-preference race where Independent Ireland’s Noel Thomas edged ahead, yet Kyne’s established local profile as a former TD and current senator provides a broader path to reaching the quota. Counting continues with subsequent distributions likely to widen his advantage. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include unusually skewed later preferences or significant errors emerging during full tallies.
A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
마켓 개설일: Feb 25, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
거래량
$245,153종료일
2027.03.31마켓 개설일
Feb 25, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).Seán Kyne holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the Galway West by-election due to expectations of strong transfers under Ireland’s single transferable vote system from eliminated Fianna Fáil, Labour, and centre-right candidates. The May 22 poll, called after Catherine Connolly’s vacancy, produced a tight first-preference race where Independent Ireland’s Noel Thomas edged ahead, yet Kyne’s established local profile as a former TD and current senator provides a broader path to reaching the quota. Counting continues with subsequent distributions likely to widen his advantage. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include unusually skewed later preferences or significant errors emerging during full tallies.
A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
거래량
$245,153종료일
2027.03.31마켓 개설일
Feb 25, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Seán Kyne holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the Galway West by-election due to expectations of strong transfers under Ireland’s single transferable vote system from eliminated Fianna Fáil, Labour, and centre-right candidates. The May 22 poll, called after Catherine Connolly’s vacancy, produced a tight first-preference race where Independent Ireland’s Noel Thomas edged ahead, yet Kyne’s established local profile as a former TD and current senator provides a broader path to reaching the quota. Counting continues with subsequent distributions likely to widen his advantage. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include unusually skewed later preferences or significant errors emerging during full tallies.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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