Seán Kyne secured the Galway West Dáil seat in the May 22 by-election through strong performance in later counts under Ireland’s single transferable vote system, overtaking first-preference leader Noel Thomas of Independent Ireland on the eleventh count after receiving decisive transfers from eliminated candidates including Labour’s Helen Ogbu. Kyne’s established local profile as a former TD and current Senator, combined with Fine Gael’s historical strength in the constituency and support from centre-right voters, positioned him to consolidate preferences effectively once lower-polling contenders were excluded. Other listed candidates trailed significantly throughout the process with no viable path to victory. A narrow final margin or formal recount challenge could theoretically delay formal resolution, though the official declaration has already confirmed the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Seán Kyne 100.0%
Sheila Garrity <1%
尼尔·墨菲 <1%
Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich <1%
$257,367 交易量
$257,367 交易量
Sheila Garrity
否
Seán Kyne
是
尼尔·墨菲
否
Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich
否
奥拉·纳金特
否
海伦·奥格布
否
丹曼·鲁克
否
诺埃尔·托马斯
否
托马斯·韦尔比
否
迈克·卡巴德
否
马克·洛汉
否
Seán Kyne 100.0%
Sheila Garrity <1%
尼尔·墨菲 <1%
Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich <1%
$257,367 交易量
$257,367 交易量
Sheila Garrity
否
Seán Kyne
是
尼尔·墨菲
否
Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich
否
奥拉·纳金特
否
海伦·奥格布
否
丹曼·鲁克
否
诺埃尔·托马斯
否
托马斯·韦尔比
否
迈克·卡巴德
否
马克·洛汉
否
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
市场开放时间: Feb 25, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Seán Kyne secured the Galway West Dáil seat in the May 22 by-election through strong performance in later counts under Ireland’s single transferable vote system, overtaking first-preference leader Noel Thomas of Independent Ireland on the eleventh count after receiving decisive transfers from eliminated candidates including Labour’s Helen Ogbu. Kyne’s established local profile as a former TD and current Senator, combined with Fine Gael’s historical strength in the constituency and support from centre-right voters, positioned him to consolidate preferences effectively once lower-polling contenders were excluded. Other listed candidates trailed significantly throughout the process with no viable path to victory. A narrow final margin or formal recount challenge could theoretically delay formal resolution, though the official declaration has already confirmed the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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