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Rate Cut predictions & odds

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Fed rate cut by...?

Fed rate cut by...?

28%

December Meeting

$2M Vol.

$163K Liq.

17

Ends in about 1 month

ECB rate cut in 2026?

ECB rate cut in 2026?

12%

$27.9K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

10%

$105K Vol.

$4.1K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

71%

0 (0 bps)

$27M Vol.

$208K today

$1M Liq.

74

Ends in 8 months

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

82%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$1.3K Vol.

$74.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

93%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$49.0K Vol.

$50.5K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

98%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$1M Vol.

$76.4K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Fed rate hike by...?

Fed rate hike by...?

26%

October Meeting

$149K Vol.

$61.7K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Central Bank of Colombia decision in July?

Central Bank of Colombia decision in July?

50%

25 bps increase

$49 Vol.

$1.0K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Bank of England decision in July?

Bank of England decision in July?

62%

No change

$358 Vol.

$4.8K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Fed Decision in September?

Fed Decision in September?

80%

No change

$15.0K Vol.

$264K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

24%

↓ 3.25%

$1M Vol.

$137K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

94%

No change

$6M Vol.

$51.6K today

$760K Liq.

1

Ends in 2 months

ECB Interest Rates: July 2026

ECB Interest Rates: July 2026

53%

No change

$524 Vol.

$12.9K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Fed Decision in June?

Fed Decision in June?

98%

No change

$31M Vol.

$2M today

$4M Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

58%

3.75%

$7M Vol.

$141K Liq.

7

Ends in 7 months

Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?

Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?

8%

$15.7K Vol.

$5.8K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

2%

$17.0K Vol.

$25.8K Liq.

South African Reserve Bank Decision in May?

South African Reserve Bank Decision in May?

87%

Increase

$10.5K Vol.

$3.8K Liq.

Ends in 11 days

Bank of Israel Decision in May?

Bank of Israel Decision in May?

80%

Decrease

$41.0K Vol.

$8.4K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 108 active markets for Rate Cut that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Fed rate cut by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $74.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “ECB rate cut in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Fed Decision in June?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Fed Decision in June?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 98% chance to No change. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Rate Cut predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.