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World·Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Slovenia

Market icon
World·Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Slovenia

Robert Golob 64%

Janez Janša 21%

Anže Logar 4.3%

Vladimir Prebilič <1%

Polymarket

$1,743,197 Vol.

Robert Golob 64%

Janez Janša 21%

Anže Logar 4.3%

Vladimir Prebilič <1%

Polymarket

$1,743,197 Vol.

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Robert Golob

$463,513 Vol.

64%

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Janez Janša

$513,670 Vol.

21%

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Anže Logar

$639,577 Vol.

4%

Market icon

Vladimir Prebilič

$126,436 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.In Slovenia's parliamentary elections on March 22, Prime Minister Robert Golob's centre-left Freedom Movement secured a narrow plurality with 29 seats in the 90-member National Assembly, positioning him as the frontrunner for next prime minister amid ongoing coalition negotiations. President Nataša Pirc Musar urged parties to prioritize talks on March 23, while Golob advocated for a national unity government on March 27, bolstering trader consensus at 64% implied probability for his continuation despite no outright majority. Janez Janša's right-wing Slovenian Democratic Party placed a close second, trading at 20.5% as a viable alternative if centre-left talks falter, with Anže Logar and Vladimir Prebilič trailing due to smaller party showings. Fragmented results heighten uncertainty ahead of key alliance formations.

In Slovenia's parliamentary elections on March 22, Prime Minister Robert Golob's centre-left Freedom Movement secured a narrow plurality with 29 seats in the 90-member National Assembly, positioning him as the frontrunner for next prime minister amid ongoing coalition negotiations. President Nataša Pirc Musar urged parties to prioritize talks on March 23, while Golob advocated for a national unity government on March 27, bolstering trader consensus at 64% implied probability for his continuation despite no outright majority. Janez Janša's right-wing Slovenian Democratic Party placed a close second, trading at 20.5% as a viable alternative if centre-left talks falter, with Anže Logar and Vladimir Prebilič trailing due to smaller party showings. Fragmented results heighten uncertainty ahead of key alliance formations.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.In Slovenia's parliamentary elections on March 22, Prime Minister Robert Golob's centre-left Freedom Movement secured a narrow plurality with 29 seats in the 90-member National Assembly, positioning him as the frontrunner for next prime minister amid ongoing coalition negotiations. President Nataša Pirc Musar urged parties to prioritize talks on March 23, while Golob advocated for a national unity government on March 27, bolstering trader consensus at 64% implied probability for his continuation despite no outright majority. Janez Janša's right-wing Slovenian Democratic Party placed a close second, trading at 20.5% as a viable alternative if centre-left talks falter, with Anže Logar and Vladimir Prebilič trailing due to smaller party showings. Fragmented results heighten uncertainty ahead of key alliance formations.

In Slovenia's parliamentary elections on March 22, Prime Minister Robert Golob's centre-left Freedom Movement secured a narrow plurality with 29 seats in the 90-member National Assembly, positioning him as the frontrunner for next prime minister amid ongoing coalition negotiations. President Nataša Pirc Musar urged parties to prioritize talks on March 23, while Golob advocated for a national unity government on March 27, bolstering trader consensus at 64% implied probability for his continuation despite no outright majority. Janez Janša's right-wing Slovenian Democratic Party placed a close second, trading at 20.5% as a viable alternative if centre-left talks falter, with Anže Logar and Vladimir Prebilič trailing due to smaller party showings. Fragmented results heighten uncertainty ahead of key alliance formations.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Prime Minister of Slovenia" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Robert Golob" at 64%, followed by "Janez Janša" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 64¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next Prime Minister of Slovenia" has generated $1.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next Prime Minister of Slovenia," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Prime Minister of Slovenia" is "Robert Golob" at 64%, meaning the market assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Janez Janša" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Prime Minister of Slovenia" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.