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# of seats won by SDS in Slovenian Parliamentary Election?

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# of seats won by SDS in Slovenian Parliamentary Election?

<30 100.0%

30-34 <1%

35-39 <1%

40-44 <1%

Polymarket

$93,076 Vol.

<30 100.0%

30-34 <1%

35-39 <1%

40-44 <1%

Polymarket

$93,076 Vol.

<30

$35,327 Vol.

Yes

30-34

$36,727 Vol.

No

35-39

$13,662 Vol.

No

40-44

$7,360 Vol.

No

45+

$0 Vol.

No

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor) as a result of this election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition it may be part of. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian government, specifically the Slovenian Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (dvk-rs.si/).Official results from Slovenia's March 22, 2026, parliamentary election confirm the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS), led by Janez Janša, secured 28 seats in the 90-seat National Assembly with 27.88% of the vote, placing second behind Prime Minister Robert Golob's Freedom Movement (GS) at 29 seats. This outcome, verified by the State Election Commission, drives trader consensus toward under 30 seats, reflecting SDS's narrow underperformance against late polls projecting 25–31 seats amid a highly contested proportional representation race and 70% turnout. A hung parliament has spurred coalition negotiations among fragmented parties, but final seat tallies remain firm; only an improbable recount or legal challenge could shift this, given the slim 0.78-point vote margin to GS.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor) as a result of this election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition it may be part of.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian government, specifically the Slovenian Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (dvk-rs.si/).
Volume
$93,076
End Date
Mar 22, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 13, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor) as a result of this election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition it may be part of. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian government, specifically the Slovenian Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (dvk-rs.si/).

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor) as a result of this election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition it may be part of. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian government, specifically the Slovenian Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (dvk-rs.si/).Official results from Slovenia's March 22, 2026, parliamentary election confirm the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS), led by Janez Janša, secured 28 seats in the 90-seat National Assembly with 27.88% of the vote, placing second behind Prime Minister Robert Golob's Freedom Movement (GS) at 29 seats. This outcome, verified by the State Election Commission, drives trader consensus toward under 30 seats, reflecting SDS's narrow underperformance against late polls projecting 25–31 seats amid a highly contested proportional representation race and 70% turnout. A hung parliament has spurred coalition negotiations among fragmented parties, but final seat tallies remain firm; only an improbable recount or legal challenge could shift this, given the slim 0.78-point vote margin to GS.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor) as a result of this election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition it may be part of.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian government, specifically the Slovenian Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (dvk-rs.si/).
Volume
$93,076
End Date
Mar 22, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 13, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor) as a result of this election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition it may be part of. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian government, specifically the Slovenian Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (dvk-rs.si/).

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"# of seats won by SDS in Slovenian Parliamentary Election?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "<30" at 100%, followed by "30-34" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "# of seats won by SDS in Slovenian Parliamentary Election?" has generated $93.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "# of seats won by SDS in Slovenian Parliamentary Election?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "# of seats won by SDS in Slovenian Parliamentary Election?" is "<30" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "30-34" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "# of seats won by SDS in Slovenian Parliamentary Election?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.