In Slovenia's March 22, 2026, parliamentary election under proportional representation for the 90-seat National Assembly, official results confirmed the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) secured 28 seats with 27.91% of the vote, driving trader consensus to overwhelming odds on under 30 seats. Pre-election polls had varied widely, with some MRP models forecasting up to 33 seats amid a tight race against Prime Minister Robert Golob's Freedom Movement (GS) at 29 seats, but final tallies aligned with conservative estimates. The resulting hung parliament, requiring 46 seats for a majority, has spurred coalition negotiations excluding SDS, yet seat allocations stand firm absent recounts or legal challenges—scenarios traders deem improbable given the 69.94% turnout and lack of disputes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated# of seats won by SDS in Slovenian Parliamentary Election?
# of seats won by SDS in Slovenian Parliamentary Election?
<30 99.8%
35-39 <1%
30-34 <1%
40-44 <1%
$91,365 Vol.
$91,365 Vol.
<30
100%
30-34
<1%
35-39
1%
40-44
<1%
45+
<1%
<30 99.8%
35-39 <1%
30-34 <1%
40-44 <1%
$91,365 Vol.
$91,365 Vol.
<30
100%
30-34
<1%
35-39
1%
40-44
<1%
45+
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor) as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition it may be part of.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian government, specifically the Slovenian Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (dvk-rs.si/).
Market Opened: Mar 13, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor) as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition it may be part of.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian government, specifically the Slovenian Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (dvk-rs.si/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In Slovenia's March 22, 2026, parliamentary election under proportional representation for the 90-seat National Assembly, official results confirmed the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) secured 28 seats with 27.91% of the vote, driving trader consensus to overwhelming odds on under 30 seats. Pre-election polls had varied widely, with some MRP models forecasting up to 33 seats amid a tight race against Prime Minister Robert Golob's Freedom Movement (GS) at 29 seats, but final tallies aligned with conservative estimates. The resulting hung parliament, requiring 46 seats for a majority, has spurred coalition negotiations excluding SDS, yet seat allocations stand firm absent recounts or legal challenges—scenarios traders deem improbable given the 69.94% turnout and lack of disputes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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