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Politics·Primaries

MI-10 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Politics·Primaries

MI-10 Democratic Primary Winner

Eric Chung 62%

Tim Greimel 19%

Christina Hines 18%

Tripp Adams 4.5%

Polymarket
NEW

Eric Chung 62%

Tim Greimel 19%

Christina Hines 18%

Tripp Adams 4.5%

Polymarket
NEW

Eric Chung

$1,366 Vol.

62%

Tim Greimel

$0 Vol.

19%

Christina Hines

$0 Vol.

18%

Tripp Adams

$0 Vol.

5%

Brian Jaye

$0 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Eric Chung leads Polymarket odds at 62% in the MI-10 Democratic primary thanks to recent polls, including a mid-July Target Insyght survey showing him ahead 26%-20% over Tim Greimel amid strong fundraising—Chung raised over $500,000 by Q2 filers, dwarfing rivals—and endorsements from EMILY's List and progressive groups. Greimel at 19% draws union backing as former state House minority leader, while Macomb County Commissioner Christina Hines holds 18% with local name recognition. Lower-tier candidates Tripp Adams and Brian Jaye trail due to limited resources. With the August 6 primary nearing, turnout in battleground Macomb County and any late endorsements could shift trader consensus reflecting skin-in-the-game assessments.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$1,366
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 25, 2026, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Eric Chung leads Polymarket odds at 62% in the MI-10 Democratic primary thanks to recent polls, including a mid-July Target Insyght survey showing him ahead 26%-20% over Tim Greimel amid strong fundraising—Chung raised over $500,000 by Q2 filers, dwarfing rivals—and endorsements from EMILY's List and progressive groups. Greimel at 19% draws union backing as former state House minority leader, while Macomb County Commissioner Christina Hines holds 18% with local name recognition. Lower-tier candidates Tripp Adams and Brian Jaye trail due to limited resources. With the August 6 primary nearing, turnout in battleground Macomb County and any late endorsements could shift trader consensus reflecting skin-in-the-game assessments.

Eric Chung leads Polymarket odds at 62% in the MI-10 Democratic primary thanks to recent polls, including a mid-July Target Insyght survey showing him ahead 26%-20% over Tim Greimel amid strong fundraising—Chung raised over $500,000 by Q2 filers, dwarfing rivals—and endorsements from EMILY's List and progressive groups. Greimel at 19% draws union backing as former state House minority leader, while Macomb County Commissioner Christina Hines holds 18% with local name recognition. Lower-tier candidates Tripp Adams and Brian Jaye trail due to limited resources. With the August 6 primary nearing, turnout in battleground Macomb County and any late endorsements could shift trader consensus reflecting skin-in-the-game assessments.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MI-10 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Eric Chung" at 62%, followed by "Tim Greimel" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 62¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"MI-10 Democratic Primary Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Feb 25, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "MI-10 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MI-10 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Eric Chung" at 62%, meaning the market assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Tim Greimel" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MI-10 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.