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Politics·Primaries

Arizona Governor Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
Politics·Primaries

Arizona Governor Republican Primary Winner

Andy Biggs 93%

David Schweikert 4.4%

Karrin Taylor Robson 1.4%

Polymarket

$59,140 Vol.

Andy Biggs 93%

David Schweikert 4.4%

Karrin Taylor Robson 1.4%

Polymarket

$59,140 Vol.

Andy Biggs

$5,815 Vol.

93%

David Schweikert

$5,701 Vol.

4%

Karrin Taylor Robson

$47,624 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Arizona, scheduled to take place on July 21, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Arizona Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Arizona Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.U.S. Rep. Andy Biggs commands 92.5% trader consensus in the Arizona Republican gubernatorial primary market following his formal announcement last week to seek the 2026 nomination, leveraging his incumbency, endorsement from former President Trump, and strong fundraising start amid a wide-open field after Gov. Doug Ducey's term limit. Incumbent House Freedom Caucus chair Biggs benefits from base rates favoring early-declaring conservatives in Arizona GOP primaries, with polls showing him leading hypothetical matchups. Challengers like Rep. David Schweikert (4.3%) and 2022 nominee Karrin Taylor Robson (1.4%) trail without announced campaigns or comparable momentum. Upsets could arise from high-profile late entrants, scandals, or shifts in Trump-aligned endorsements before the August 2026 primary.

U.S. Rep. Andy Biggs commands 92.5% trader consensus in the Arizona Republican gubernatorial primary market following his formal announcement last week to seek the 2026 nomination, leveraging his incumbency, endorsement from former President Trump, and strong fundraising start amid a wide-open field after Gov. Doug Ducey's term limit. Incumbent House Freedom Caucus chair Biggs benefits from base rates favoring early-declaring conservatives in Arizona GOP primaries, with polls showing him leading hypothetical matchups. Challengers like Rep. David Schweikert (4.3%) and 2022 nominee Karrin Taylor Robson (1.4%) trail without announced campaigns or comparable momentum. Upsets could arise from high-profile late entrants, scandals, or shifts in Trump-aligned endorsements before the August 2026 primary.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Arizona, scheduled to take place on July 21, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Arizona Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Arizona Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.U.S. Rep. Andy Biggs commands 92.5% trader consensus in the Arizona Republican gubernatorial primary market following his formal announcement last week to seek the 2026 nomination, leveraging his incumbency, endorsement from former President Trump, and strong fundraising start amid a wide-open field after Gov. Doug Ducey's term limit. Incumbent House Freedom Caucus chair Biggs benefits from base rates favoring early-declaring conservatives in Arizona GOP primaries, with polls showing him leading hypothetical matchups. Challengers like Rep. David Schweikert (4.3%) and 2022 nominee Karrin Taylor Robson (1.4%) trail without announced campaigns or comparable momentum. Upsets could arise from high-profile late entrants, scandals, or shifts in Trump-aligned endorsements before the August 2026 primary.

U.S. Rep. Andy Biggs commands 92.5% trader consensus in the Arizona Republican gubernatorial primary market following his formal announcement last week to seek the 2026 nomination, leveraging his incumbency, endorsement from former President Trump, and strong fundraising start amid a wide-open field after Gov. Doug Ducey's term limit. Incumbent House Freedom Caucus chair Biggs benefits from base rates favoring early-declaring conservatives in Arizona GOP primaries, with polls showing him leading hypothetical matchups. Challengers like Rep. David Schweikert (4.3%) and 2022 nominee Karrin Taylor Robson (1.4%) trail without announced campaigns or comparable momentum. Upsets could arise from high-profile late entrants, scandals, or shifts in Trump-aligned endorsements before the August 2026 primary.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Arizona Governor Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Andy Biggs" at 93%, followed by "David Schweikert" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 93¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Arizona Governor Republican Primary Winner" has generated $59.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Arizona Governor Republican Primary Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Arizona Governor Republican Primary Winner" is "Andy Biggs" at 93%, meaning the market assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "David Schweikert" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Arizona Governor Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.