Recent polls ahead of Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election consistently position Mi Hazánk third with 4-8% vote share among decided voters, well ahead of rivals like DK (1-3%), MKKP (up to 5% in select surveys), and others below the 5% threshold for National Assembly seats. Late March surveys from Medián, Publicus, Závecz Research, and government-aligned pollsters affirm this gap, as TISZA leads Fidesz-KDNP while the opposition remains fragmented, boosting Mi Hazánk's relative strength among right-leaning non-Fidesz voters. Trader consensus at 95.5% reflects this polling stability and Mi Hazánk's path to list seats. Challenges would require a late surge by MKKP or DK via voter consolidation, polling errors, or turnout shifts, though trends show no such momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHungary Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Hungary Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Mi Hazánk 96%
DK 2.1%
MKKP 1.4%
Momentum <1%
$46,720 Vol.
$46,720 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
Mi Hazánk
96%
DK
2%
MKKP
1%
Momentum
1%
MSZP
<1%
Fidesz-KDNP
<1%
Párbeszéd
<1%
TISZA
<1%
Jobbik
<1%
LMP
<1%
Mi Hazánk 96%
DK 2.1%
MKKP 1.4%
Momentum <1%
$46,720 Vol.
$46,720 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
Mi Hazánk
$32,820 Vol.
96%
DK
$1,050 Vol.
2%
MKKP
$842 Vol.
1%
Momentum
$2,256 Vol.
1%
MSZP
$970 Vol.
<1%
Fidesz-KDNP
$1,421 Vol.
<1%
Párbeszéd
$873 Vol.
<1%
TISZA
$854 Vol.
<1%
Jobbik
$1,004 Vol.
<1%
LMP
$4,630 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.Recent polls ahead of Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election consistently position Mi Hazánk third with 4-8% vote share among decided voters, well ahead of rivals like DK (1-3%), MKKP (up to 5% in select surveys), and others below the 5% threshold for National Assembly seats. Late March surveys from Medián, Publicus, Závecz Research, and government-aligned pollsters affirm this gap, as TISZA leads Fidesz-KDNP while the opposition remains fragmented, boosting Mi Hazánk's relative strength among right-leaning non-Fidesz voters. Trader consensus at 95.5% reflects this polling stability and Mi Hazánk's path to list seats. Challenges would require a late surge by MKKP or DK via voter consolidation, polling errors, or turnout shifts, though trends show no such momentum.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
Market Opened: Mar 23, 2026, 1:52 PM ET
Volume
$46,720End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Mar 23, 2026, 1:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.Recent polls ahead of Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election consistently position Mi Hazánk third with 4-8% vote share among decided voters, well ahead of rivals like DK (1-3%), MKKP (up to 5% in select surveys), and others below the 5% threshold for National Assembly seats. Late March surveys from Medián, Publicus, Závecz Research, and government-aligned pollsters affirm this gap, as TISZA leads Fidesz-KDNP while the opposition remains fragmented, boosting Mi Hazánk's relative strength among right-leaning non-Fidesz voters. Trader consensus at 95.5% reflects this polling stability and Mi Hazánk's path to list seats. Challenges would require a late surge by MKKP or DK via voter consolidation, polling errors, or turnout shifts, though trends show no such momentum.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
Volume
$46,720End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Mar 23, 2026, 1:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election consistently position Mi Hazánk third with 4-8% vote share among decided voters, well ahead of rivals like DK (1-3%), MKKP (up to 5% in select surveys), and others below the 5% threshold for National Assembly seats. Late March surveys from Medián, Publicus, Závecz Research, and government-aligned pollsters affirm this gap, as TISZA leads Fidesz-KDNP while the opposition remains fragmented, boosting Mi Hazánk's relative strength among right-leaning non-Fidesz voters. Trader consensus at 95.5% reflects this polling stability and Mi Hazánk's path to list seats. Challenges would require a late surge by MKKP or DK via voter consolidation, polling errors, or turnout shifts, though trends show no such momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedRelated
Will Fidesz–KDNP finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
70%
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
70%
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
73%
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