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Peace Agreements predictions & odds

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US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

66%

December 31

$117M Vol.

$850K today

$2M Liq.

2,313

Ends in 8 months

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

10%

Donald Trump

$18M Vol.

$120K today

$2M Liq.

175

Ends in 5 months

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

14%

June 30

$911K Vol.

$68.0K Liq.

14

Ends in 14 days

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

31%

$571K Vol.

$67.2K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

6%

$438K Vol.

$46.5K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

2%

May 31

$174K Vol.

$25.8K Liq.

23

Ends in 14 days

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

21%

December 31

$432K Vol.

$18.1K Liq.

7

Ends in 8 months

Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

19%

$14.7K Vol.

$18.2K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?

Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?

35%

$14.0K Vol.

$2.1K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

19%

$469K Vol.

$24.7K Liq.

19

Ends in 8 months

Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner

Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner

88%

No election before 2027

$18.4K Vol.

$13.9K Liq.

7

What Trump-named things will Trump mention in May?

What Trump-named things will Trump mention in May?

45%

Trump Tax

$3.6K Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by...?

Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by...?

30%

June 30

$150K Vol.

$523 Liq.

30

Ends in about 1 month

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

49%

December 31

$569K Vol.

$77.2K today

$415K Liq.

43

Ends in 8 months

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

18%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$14.0K Liq.

88

Ends in about 1 month

Israel x Syria security agreement by...?

Israel x Syria security agreement by...?

7%

June 30

$4M Vol.

$1M today

$13.7K Liq.

117

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?

6%

$615K Vol.

$26.2K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?

Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?

25%

December 31, 2026

$92.7K Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

33%

December 31

$3.2K Vol.

$166K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

53%

$195K Vol.

$32.1K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Peace Agreements.

Polymarket currently hosts 117 active markets for Peace Agreements that lets you track or trade on predictions like “US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $145.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 66% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Peace Agreements predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.