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Files predictions & odds

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Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

100%

May 15

$1M Vol.

$1M today

$2M Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?

Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?

19%

$1.4K Vol.

$7.9K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Epstein client list released by...?

Epstein client list released by...?

3%

June 30

$4M Vol.

$40.1K Liq.

1,035

Ends in about 1 month

Epstein storage units raided in 2026?

Epstein storage units raided in 2026?

22%

$7.1K Vol.

$9.2K Liq.

4

Ends in 8 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

97%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

125

Ends in about 1 month

Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

11%

$292K Vol.

$23.5K Liq.

45

Ends in 8 months

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

98%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$1M Vol.

$62.8K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

80%

Not revealed in 2026

$13.4K Vol.

$20.2K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

3%

May 31

$145K Vol.

$18.3K Liq.

10

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

82%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$1.3K Vol.

$75.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

55%

December 31, 2027

$480K Vol.

$5.6K Liq.

33

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in May 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in May 2026?

42%

2

$16.7K Vol.

$5.9K Liq.

2

Ends in 14 days

# of Packages Pushed by Figure's F.03 Robots by May 21, 10 PM ET?

# of Packages Pushed by Figure's F.03 Robots by May 21, 10 PM ET?

91%

200,000+

$96.9K Vol.

$16.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?

What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?

71%

↑ 14,000

$50.8K Vol.

$46.0K Liq.

4

Ends in 8 months

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

82%

$21.4K Vol.

$4.1K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Will Situational Awareness add ___ to its upcoming 13F?

Will Situational Awareness add ___ to its upcoming 13F?

50%

Qualcomm

$121 Vol.

$544 Liq.

Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?

Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?

17%

$129K Vol.

$15.8K Liq.

30

Ends in 8 months

Will Workday Q1 total subscription revenue backlog be above __?

Will Workday Q1 total subscription revenue backlog be above __?

91%

$27.5B

$619 Vol.

$102 Liq.

Ends in 5 days

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

96%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$20.7K Liq.

51

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on May 18?

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on May 18?

99%

$95

$2.1K Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Files.

Polymarket currently hosts 117 active markets for Files that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $12.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Epstein client list released by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Epstein client list released by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 3% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Files predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.