The official @khamenei_ir account on X maintains a steady cadence of official statements, translated messages, and archival content from the late Supreme Leader, producing a consistent weekly volume that has aligned with the 15-19 range in recent periods. This pattern reflects routine institutional communications rather than event-driven spikes, even amid Iran's leadership transition and regional developments earlier in 2026. Traders' near-certain positioning on this outcome draws from observable posting history and the absence of extraordinary diplomatic, military, or domestic triggers that would prompt a sharp deviation during the May 19-26 window. A major escalation in tensions or a shift in account management could still alter the count outside this band.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKhamenei # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?
Khamenei # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?
15-19 100.0%
<5 <1%
5-9 <1%
10-14 <1%
$34,368 Vol.
$34,368 Vol.
May 26, 2026
<5
No
5-9
No
10-14
No
15-19
Yes
20-24
No
25-29
No
30-34
No
35-39
No
40-44
No
45-49
No
50-54
No
55-59
No
60+
No
15-19 100.0%
<5 <1%
5-9 <1%
10-14 <1%
$34,368 Vol.
$34,368 Vol.
May 26, 2026
<5
$7,067 Vol.
No
5-9
$3,531 Vol.
No
10-14
$3,230 Vol.
No
15-19
$5,908 Vol.
Yes
20-24
$3,517 Vol.
No
25-29
$949 Vol.
No
30-34
$888 Vol.
No
35-39
$816 Vol.
No
40-44
$959 Vol.
No
45-49
$796 Vol.
No
50-54
$1,606 Vol.
No
55-59
$4,048 Vol.
No
60+
$1,053 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The official @khamenei_ir account on X maintains a steady cadence of official statements, translated messages, and archival content from the late Supreme Leader, producing a consistent weekly volume that has aligned with the 15-19 range in recent periods. This pattern reflects routine institutional communications rather than event-driven spikes, even amid Iran's leadership transition and regional developments earlier in 2026. Traders' near-certain positioning on this outcome draws from observable posting history and the absence of extraordinary diplomatic, military, or domestic triggers that would prompt a sharp deviation during the May 19-26 window. A major escalation in tensions or a shift in account management could still alter the count outside this band.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: May 20, 2026, 12:17 PM ET
Volume
$34,368End Date
May 26, 2026Market Opened
May 20, 2026, 12:17 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The official @khamenei_ir account on X maintains a steady cadence of official statements, translated messages, and archival content from the late Supreme Leader, producing a consistent weekly volume that has aligned with the 15-19 range in recent periods. This pattern reflects routine institutional communications rather than event-driven spikes, even amid Iran's leadership transition and regional developments earlier in 2026. Traders' near-certain positioning on this outcome draws from observable posting history and the absence of extraordinary diplomatic, military, or domestic triggers that would prompt a sharp deviation during the May 19-26 window. A major escalation in tensions or a shift in account management could still alter the count outside this band.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 19, 12:00 PM ET and May 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$34,368End Date
May 26, 2026Market Opened
May 20, 2026, 12:17 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The official @khamenei_ir account on X maintains a steady cadence of official statements, translated messages, and archival content from the late Supreme Leader, producing a consistent weekly volume that has aligned with the 15-19 range in recent periods. This pattern reflects routine institutional communications rather than event-driven spikes, even amid Iran's leadership transition and regional developments earlier in 2026. Traders' near-certain positioning on this outcome draws from observable posting history and the absence of extraordinary diplomatic, military, or domestic triggers that would prompt a sharp deviation during the May 19-26 window. A major escalation in tensions or a shift in account management could still alter the count outside this band.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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