Traders have converged overwhelmingly on the 65-89 tweet range for Elon Musk across May 16-18, 2026, driven by his well-documented pattern of high-volume posting on X. Musk routinely engages directly with followers through dozens of daily updates on technology, policy, and real-time events, a pace that has produced similar three-day totals in recent periods without major disruptions. With the window now concluding, observed activity levels have remained consistent with this established rhythm rather than accelerating into outlier territory. An upset into the 90-114 bucket would require an unusually sustained burst of announcements or replies, something Musk has demonstrated he can deliver on occasion but has not yet materialized here.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated65-89 100.0%
<40 <1%
40-64 <1%
90-114 <1%
$2,406,733 Vol.
$2,406,733 Vol.
May 18, 2026
<40
No
40-64
No
65-89
Yes
90-114
No
115-139
No
140-164
No
165-189
No
190-214
No
215-239
No
240+
No
65-89 100.0%
<40 <1%
40-64 <1%
90-114 <1%
$2,406,733 Vol.
$2,406,733 Vol.
May 18, 2026
<40
$347,940 Vol.
No
40-64
$307,357 Vol.
No
65-89
$431,085 Vol.
Yes
90-114
$739,731 Vol.
No
115-139
$375,502 Vol.
No
140-164
$75,160 Vol.
No
165-189
$55,706 Vol.
No
190-214
$37,784 Vol.
No
215-239
$16,293 Vol.
No
240+
$20,175 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders have converged overwhelmingly on the 65-89 tweet range for Elon Musk across May 16-18, 2026, driven by his well-documented pattern of high-volume posting on X. Musk routinely engages directly with followers through dozens of daily updates on technology, policy, and real-time events, a pace that has produced similar three-day totals in recent periods without major disruptions. With the window now concluding, observed activity levels have remained consistent with this established rhythm rather than accelerating into outlier territory. An upset into the 90-114 bucket would require an unusually sustained burst of announcements or replies, something Musk has demonstrated he can deliver on occasion but has not yet materialized here.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$2,406,733End Date
May 18, 2026Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders have converged overwhelmingly on the 65-89 tweet range for Elon Musk across May 16-18, 2026, driven by his well-documented pattern of high-volume posting on X. Musk routinely engages directly with followers through dozens of daily updates on technology, policy, and real-time events, a pace that has produced similar three-day totals in recent periods without major disruptions. With the window now concluding, observed activity levels have remained consistent with this established rhythm rather than accelerating into outlier territory. An upset into the 90-114 bucket would require an unusually sustained burst of announcements or replies, something Musk has demonstrated he can deliver on occasion but has not yet materialized here.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$2,406,733End Date
May 18, 2026Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Traders have converged overwhelmingly on the 65-89 tweet range for Elon Musk across May 16-18, 2026, driven by his well-documented pattern of high-volume posting on X. Musk routinely engages directly with followers through dozens of daily updates on technology, policy, and real-time events, a pace that has produced similar three-day totals in recent periods without major disruptions. With the window now concluding, observed activity levels have remained consistent with this established rhythm rather than accelerating into outlier territory. An upset into the 90-114 bucket would require an unusually sustained burst of announcements or replies, something Musk has demonstrated he can deliver on occasion but has not yet materialized here.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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