Skip to main content

Associated Press predictions & odds

·
What will the Press Secretary say during the next White House press briefing?

What will the Press Secretary say during the next White House press briefing?

96%

Iran 5+ times

$6.5K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

Ends in 12 days

Will TMZ be granted a White House Press Badge?

Will TMZ be granted a White House Press Badge?

44%

$26 Vol.

$59 Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary Winner

72%

Ed Markey

$13.3K Vol.

$19.7K Liq.

1

Ends in 4 months

PLL: 2026 Coach of the Year

PLL: 2026 Coach of the Year

50%

Jim Stagnitta

$0 Vol.

$59 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

What will Trump post this week? (May 24)

What will Trump post this week? (May 24)

93%

Big / Bigger / Biggest

$1.9K Vol.

$6.9K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

What will Trump post this week? (May 11 - May 17)

What will Trump post this week? (May 11 - May 17)

1%

King

$17.5K Vol.

$365 Liq.

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (May 18 - May 24)

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (May 18 - May 24)

89%

Oil

$1.9K Vol.

$3.8K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

# of Packages Pushed by Figure's F.03 Robots by May 21, 10 PM ET?

# of Packages Pushed by Figure's F.03 Robots by May 21, 10 PM ET?

96%

200,000+

$157K Vol.

$20.8K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Khamenei # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

Khamenei # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

75%

<5

$2.1K Vol.

$4.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Zelenskyy # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

49%

60-79

$8.1K Vol.

$108K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

46%

June 30

$18M Vol.

$211K today

$188K Liq.

489

Ends in about 1 month

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

9%

$80.4K Vol.

$14.7K Liq.

9

Ends in 11 months

California Lieutenant Governor Election Winner

California Lieutenant Governor Election Winner

67%

Fiona Ma

$8.6K Vol.

$88.1K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Trump-Xi Summit: What will China announce by May 22?

Trump-Xi Summit: What will China announce by May 22?

13%

U.S. Soybean Purchase

$359K Vol.

$73.7K Liq.

76

Ends in 3 days

White House # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

White House # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

52%

160-179

$9.7K Vol.

$35.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

94%

$21.4K Vol.

$4.6K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

25%

$8.7K Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

Ends in 12 days

What will Trump say this week? (May 24)

What will Trump say this week? (May 24)

96%

China

$6.6K Vol.

$10.1K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

White House # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

White House # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

79%

180-199

$59.3K Vol.

$17.2K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Major US official out by May 31?

Major US official out by May 31?

17%

$20.0K Vol.

$10.6K Liq.

Ends in 12 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Associated Press.

Polymarket currently hosts 186 active markets for Associated Press that lets you track or trade on predictions like “What will the Press Secretary say during the next White House press briefing?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $19.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 46% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Associated Press predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.