Wyoming's open gubernatorial race—triggered by term-limited Republican Gov. Mark Gordon—sees traders heavily favoring the Republican nominee at 95.5%, driven by the state's unbroken GOP hold on the office since 1974, supermajority legislature control, and massive Republican margins in recent presidential contests. Early primary field solidified with state Sen. Eric Barlow, retired Col. Brent Bien, and leading Supt. Megan Degenfelder, whose January Trump endorsement and Rep. Harriet Hageman backing bolster her position ahead of the August 18 primary. Sole Democrat Gabriel Green and recent independent Joseph Kibler lack polling viability in this deep-red battleground. Shifts would require GOP nominee scandal, primary implosion, or unforeseen economic shocks pre-November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedNEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
96%
Democrat
4%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$1,688 Vol.
96%
Democrat
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wyoming's open gubernatorial race—triggered by term-limited Republican Gov. Mark Gordon—sees traders heavily favoring the Republican nominee at 95.5%, driven by the state's unbroken GOP hold on the office since 1974, supermajority legislature control, and massive Republican margins in recent presidential contests. Early primary field solidified with state Sen. Eric Barlow, retired Col. Brent Bien, and leading Supt. Megan Degenfelder, whose January Trump endorsement and Rep. Harriet Hageman backing bolster her position ahead of the August 18 primary. Sole Democrat Gabriel Green and recent independent Joseph Kibler lack polling viability in this deep-red battleground. Shifts would require GOP nominee scandal, primary implosion, or unforeseen economic shocks pre-November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Volume
$1,688End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wyoming's open gubernatorial race—triggered by term-limited Republican Gov. Mark Gordon—sees traders heavily favoring the Republican nominee at 95.5%, driven by the state's unbroken GOP hold on the office since 1974, supermajority legislature control, and massive Republican margins in recent presidential contests. Early primary field solidified with state Sen. Eric Barlow, retired Col. Brent Bien, and leading Supt. Megan Degenfelder, whose January Trump endorsement and Rep. Harriet Hageman backing bolster her position ahead of the August 18 primary. Sole Democrat Gabriel Green and recent independent Joseph Kibler lack polling viability in this deep-red battleground. Shifts would require GOP nominee scandal, primary implosion, or unforeseen economic shocks pre-November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$1,688End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wyoming's open gubernatorial race—triggered by term-limited Republican Gov. Mark Gordon—sees traders heavily favoring the Republican nominee at 95.5%, driven by the state's unbroken GOP hold on the office since 1974, supermajority legislature control, and massive Republican margins in recent presidential contests. Early primary field solidified with state Sen. Eric Barlow, retired Col. Brent Bien, and leading Supt. Megan Degenfelder, whose January Trump endorsement and Rep. Harriet Hageman backing bolster her position ahead of the August 18 primary. Sole Democrat Gabriel Green and recent independent Joseph Kibler lack polling viability in this deep-red battleground. Shifts would require GOP nominee scandal, primary implosion, or unforeseen economic shocks pre-November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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