Skip to main content

To trade in the US, go to polymarket.us

icon for Wyoming Senate Election Winner
Politics·Wyoming Midterm

Wyoming Senate Election Winner

icon for Wyoming Senate Election Winner
Politics·Wyoming Midterm

Wyoming Senate Election Winner

Polymarket

$16,862 Vol.

Polymarket

$16,862 Vol.

icon for Harriet Hageman (R)

Harriet Hageman (R)

$11,207 Vol.

97%

icon for James W. Byrd (D)

James W. Byrd (D)

$5,655 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Harriet Hageman secured the Republican nomination for Wyoming’s open U.S. Senate seat after winning the August 18 primary with roughly 65% of the vote against multiple challengers, positioning her as the clear favorite in a state where Republicans have dominated federal races for decades and last elected a Democratic senator in 1970. The open seat, created by Cynthia Lummis’s retirement, and Wyoming’s consistent large Republican margins in presidential and statewide contests underpin trader consensus around her 96.5% implied probability. James Byrd’s Democratic primary victory has not shifted the structural dynamics, with forecasts projecting a wide margin and no general-election polling yet available. Potential disruptions remain limited to late-breaking events such as major scandals, health developments, or unexpected national political shifts before the November 3 election.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$16,862
End Date
Nov 3, 2026
Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Harriet Hageman secured the Republican nomination for Wyoming’s open U.S. Senate seat after winning the August 18 primary with roughly 65% of the vote against multiple challengers, positioning her as the clear favorite in a state where Republicans have dominated federal races for decades and last elected a Democratic senator in 1970. The open seat, created by Cynthia Lummis’s retirement, and Wyoming’s consistent large Republican margins in presidential and statewide contests underpin trader consensus around her 96.5% implied probability. James Byrd’s Democratic primary victory has not shifted the structural dynamics, with forecasts projecting a wide margin and no general-election polling yet available. Potential disruptions remain limited to late-breaking events such as major scandals, health developments, or unexpected national political shifts before the November 3 election.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$16,862
End Date
Nov 3, 2026
Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Related

icon for Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?

Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?

96%
icon for Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

71%
icon for Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?

Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?

97%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Wyoming Senate Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Harriet Hageman (R) " at 97%, followed by "James W. Byrd (D)" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Wyoming Senate Election Winner" has generated $16.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Wyoming Senate Election Winner," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Wyoming Senate Election Winner" is "Harriet Hageman (R) " at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "James W. Byrd (D)" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Wyoming Senate Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.