Harriet Hageman secured the Republican nomination in Wyoming’s open Senate seat with a decisive August 2026 primary victory, capturing nearly 65 percent against multiple challengers after incumbent Cynthia Lummis opted not to seek reelection. Strong fundraising, Trump endorsement, and her established profile as a U.S. representative in the state’s at-large House district have reinforced her position ahead of the November general election. James Byrd’s Democratic nomination drew limited opposition and resources, consistent with Wyoming’s long-standing Republican dominance in Senate contests. Election forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus at 96.8 percent for Hageman reflects these structural and recent primary factors, though a major late-cycle development such as a candidate health issue or unforeseen national shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWyoming Senate Election Winner
Wyoming Senate Election Winner
$17,892 Vol.
$17,892 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Harriet Hageman (R)
97%
James W. Byrd (D)
3%
$17,892 Vol.
$17,892 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Harriet Hageman (R)
$12,207 Vol.
97%
James W. Byrd (D)
$5,685 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Harriet Hageman secured the Republican nomination in Wyoming’s open Senate seat with a decisive August 2026 primary victory, capturing nearly 65 percent against multiple challengers after incumbent Cynthia Lummis opted not to seek reelection. Strong fundraising, Trump endorsement, and her established profile as a U.S. representative in the state’s at-large House district have reinforced her position ahead of the November general election. James Byrd’s Democratic nomination drew limited opposition and resources, consistent with Wyoming’s long-standing Republican dominance in Senate contests. Election forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus at 96.8 percent for Hageman reflects these structural and recent primary factors, though a major late-cycle development such as a candidate health issue or unforeseen national shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Volume
$17,892End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Harriet Hageman secured the Republican nomination in Wyoming’s open Senate seat with a decisive August 2026 primary victory, capturing nearly 65 percent against multiple challengers after incumbent Cynthia Lummis opted not to seek reelection. Strong fundraising, Trump endorsement, and her established profile as a U.S. representative in the state’s at-large House district have reinforced her position ahead of the November general election. James Byrd’s Democratic nomination drew limited opposition and resources, consistent with Wyoming’s long-standing Republican dominance in Senate contests. Election forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus at 96.8 percent for Hageman reflects these structural and recent primary factors, though a major late-cycle development such as a candidate health issue or unforeseen national shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$17,892End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...Harriet Hageman secured the Republican nomination in Wyoming’s open Senate seat with a decisive August 2026 primary victory, capturing nearly 65 percent against multiple challengers after incumbent Cynthia Lummis opted not to seek reelection. Strong fundraising, Trump endorsement, and her established profile as a U.S. representative in the state’s at-large House district have reinforced her position ahead of the November general election. James Byrd’s Democratic nomination drew limited opposition and resources, consistent with Wyoming’s long-standing Republican dominance in Senate contests. Election forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus at 96.8 percent for Hageman reflects these structural and recent primary factors, though a major late-cycle development such as a candidate health issue or unforeseen national shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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