Trump's endorsement of David Flippo two days ago has solidified the retired lieutenant colonel's position as the leading contender in the June 9 Republican primary for Nevada's open 2nd Congressional District seat. Flippo has framed his campaign around America First priorities and drawn support from national House Republicans, shifting trader consensus toward him in the 13-candidate field. James Settelmeyer maintains backing from Gov. Joe Lombardo and retiring Rep. Mark Amodei, providing institutional strength in rural northern Nevada, though his share of implied probability has narrowed. The remaining candidates trail far behind with minimal name recognition or organizational support. The primary outcome hinges on voter turnout among GOP base voters in the final week.